clock menu more-arrow no yes

Filed under:

Point spread, total, moneyline and more for Week 6 Lions-Packers on MNF [UPDATE]

An NFC North rivalry in Green Bay will hopefully break a streak of bad Monday night matchups. Can Stafford and the Lions knock down Rodgers and the Packers? We break down notable odds, including the point spread, trends, and ATS history.

NFL: Green Bay Packers at Dallas Cowboys Tim Heitman-USA TODAY Sports

Lions-Packers betting split

The Packers and Lions kick off Monday evening to close out Week 6 and the public is backing the Packers in a big way. 78 percent of the handle and tickets bet on the point spread are backing the Packers at -3.5. Additionally, 77 percent of the handle and tickets bet on money line wagers are backing the favored Packers. The point total sits at 46 and the over is getting hammered to the tune of 83 percent of the handle and 78 percent of tickets bet.

Since Week 2, Monday Night Football has featured some of the most uneventful matchups, with each of the four being decided by at least 16 points. In theory, that should change this week as the Detroit Lions head to Wisconsin to take on their division rivals. The Green Bay Packers are at the top of the NFC North with a 4-1 record, but a loss to the 2-1-1 Lions would make this race very interesting. Over the past two seasons, Detroit has taken all four wins in this rivalry, scoring at least 30 points in every game. The point total is set at 46, and with both teams averaging about 24 points per game, I’m leaning toward the over.

These two storied franchises have met on Monday night three times, resulting in a 1-1-1 record for both. So I guess that means this is the rubber match? The Lions, who previously lost a high-scoring nail-biter against the Chiefs in Week 4, will be feeling refreshed from their bye week. Meanwhile, the Packers took down the Cowboys in Dallas in Week 5. Aaron Jones racked up 107 rushing yards and four touchdowns, so he’ll have a ton of confidence moving forward. Unfortunately, the best way expose this Detroit defense is in the air as it’s allowed the fourth-most passing yards per game, and Aaron Rodgers’ top receiver, Davante Adams, is out with a toe injury. Rodgers will have to utilize Marquez Valdes-Scantling and Geronimo Allison a bit more than he did last week.

This game is a tough one to predict, but the Lions have been beating expectations so far this season. Considering they’ve won each of their last four road games after a bye week, I’m going with a Lions victory. In 17 career games against the Packers, Matthew Stafford has averaged 289.5 passing yards per game. In comparison, Aaron Rodgers has thrown for an average of 251.4 in his 18 career games against the Lions. I’m expecting Stafford to win this quarterback duel again.

All odds provided by DraftKings Sportsbook and all odds subject to change.

Lions at Packers

Betting Odds

Point Spread: Lions +3.5
Total Points: 46
Money Line: Lions +160; Packers -186

Records

Overall: Lions 2-1-1; Packers 4-1
ATS: Lions 3-1; Packers 4-1
O/U: Lions 3-1; Packers 3-2

Notable Prop Bets

Lions:

  • Matthew Stafford to have more passing yards than Aaron Rodgers: -112
  • Kenny Golladay to score a TD: +150

Packers:

  • Aaron Rodgers to throw over 0.5 interceptions: +115
  • Marquez Valdes-Scantling over 3.5 receptions: -112

Betting Trends

  • The Lions have won each of their last four road games after a bye.
  • The Packers have failed to cover the spread in seven of their last eight night games.
  • Each of the last nine games between NFC North teams have gone UNDER the total points line.
  • The Lions have won the first half in each of their last three games as road underdogs.
  • In each of the Packers’ last five games as favorites, the highest scoring quarter has been the second.
  • Marvin Jones Jr. has scored the first touchdown in each of the Lions’ last two Monday night road games.
  • Aaron Jones has scored at least one touchdown in each of his last six appearances at Lambeau Field.
  • Davante Adams has scored at least one touchdown in each of the Packers’ last four October games against NFC North opponents.
  • Kenny Golladay has scored at least one touchdown in three of the Lions’ last four games.

Gambling problem? Call 1-800-GAMBLER (NJ) or 1-800-9-WITH-IT (IN)
21+. NJ/IN Only. Eligibility restrictions apply.
Odds and lines subject to change. See website for details.