It’s all about finding value when playing NFL slates on DraftKings, especially if it’s low-owned value. It’s also about not throwing a lot of salary into a player who underperforms. Each week, because of injury, personnel moves and that occasional hidden gem that no one sees coming, there are player with low salaries and even lower ownership that help break a slate wide open. Then there are those who are covered in red flags. Here are our picks for the best and worst value wide receivers on DraftKings entering Week 7:
T.Y. Hilton, Indianapolis Colts vs. Houston Texans, $5,900
The Colts return from their bye week having knocked off the previously unbeaten Chiefs the last time they took the field. Having not played for two weeks has allowed all the Colts’ nicked-up skill players to heal up, most notably Hilton and a balky hamstring. Rested and ready, Hilton returns home, where he has historically put up huge numbers, and gets to face a Texans defense that allows massive point to opposing wide receivers. Having been off for a week, DFS players might overlook Hilton, but he is poised for a big day as the Colts continue to defy the odds without Andrew Luck.
John Brown, Buffalo Bills vs. Miami Dolphins, $5,500
Another big-time deep threat coming off a bye week, Brown has been one of the most reliable DFS wide receivers this season and a weekly stack option with Josh Allen. The matchup could hardly be better this week as the Bills draw the winless Dolphins at home. We just saw Terry McLaurin light up the Fins and Brown should be able to replicate that performance as the deep threat. Fire up that stack one more time.
Allen Lazard, Green Bay Packers vs. Oakland Raiders, $3,000
One of the best things about DraftKings is that they set the next week’s slate on Sunday night, so if something drastic happens on Monday night, it’s not reflected in the salaries. So that is how we have a situation where Lazard is stone-cold minimum priced, despite the fact he might be the Packers’ No. 2 receiver against a terrible pass defense on Sunday. Keep an eye on the injury report coming out of Green Bay, particularly Davante Adams and Geronimo Allison. If they both miss, Lazard is the play of the year in cash games.
Julio Jones, Atlanta Falcons vs. Los Angeles Rams, $8,000
This is certainly no knock on Jones’ talent. He is always a threat to put up a big game and he’s coming off a nice performance at Arizona. But even still, he again failed to find the end zone, and only managed 21 DK points in a smash scenario against a bad pass defense. It should also be noted that for whatever reason, Jones tends to disappear in home games, and the Falcons are at home this week. At $8K against an angry and desperate Rams defense, the negatives outweigh the positives for Julio.
Keenan Allen, Los Angeles Chargers at Tennessee Titans, $6,700
Oh, how the mighty have fallen. After the first three weeks, Allen looked like the best DFS receiver in the league, catching 29 of 42 targets for 404 yards and three touchdowns. His fewest targets in any of those games was 10. But in the past three weeks, Allen has been targeted a total of 17 times, with no more than six in a game. He has 99 yards total and no touchdowns. Yeesh. Now he faces a Titans defense that hasn’t allowed a 100-yard game to a wide receiver all season. Yeesh, yeesh, yeesh!
Terry McLaurin, Washington vs. San Francisco 49ers, $6,100
We love the rookie McLaurin. He is a lone rising star for a fallen franchise. And most weeks, he’s proven himself to be a top option. Take last week, for instance. Against the Dolphins, McLaurin caught 4 of 7 targets for 100 yards and two touchdowns. But faster than you can say “recency bias” McLaurin draws an actual NFL defense in the 49ers. This is not the week to chase points at a fairly elevated salary, especially with top options like Hilton, Larry Fitzgerald ($6,100) and Will Fuller ($6,200) right around him in salary.
I am a promoter at DraftKings and am also an avid fan and user (my username is jeffgo33) and may sometimes play on my personal account in the games that I offer advice on. Although I have expressed my personal view on the games and strategies above, they do not necessarily reflect the view(s) of DraftKings and I may also deploy different players and strategies than what I recommend above. I am not an employee of DraftKings and do not have access to any non-public information.