The NFL kicked off Week 7 on Thursday, and it did not quite go as anybody expected. The Chiefs won handily against an overmatched Broncos team, but they lost quarterback Patrick Mahomes in the process to a knee injury. It sounds like he avoided a particularly serious injury, but he’ll miss some time.
We return for the main slate, and it’s not a pretty one. We get a few intriguing matchups, with Seahawks-Ravens, Saints-Bears, and Eagles-Cowboys highlighting the afternoon and evening. The Bills are huge favorites against the Dolphins, with their highest point spread since 1992. The undefeated 49ers and Patriots are on the road in Week 7, facing Washington and the New York Jets, respectively. The Jets with a returning Sam Darnold likely have a much better shot at an upset than Washington.
Last week brought a reminder to never get too excited about a good week. After a solid Week 5, the wheels fell off in Week 6. I went 5-9, and that drops me down to 42-49-1 for the season. We might be at the point where you’re better off fading me week in and week out.
Speaking of which, it’s time for some of my best bets of the weekend. I managed a win to open things with the Chiefs. Given Mahomes’ injury, I suppose sometimes it’s better to be lucky than good. For Sunday, I grabbed the Giants -3 against Arizona, and bought a half point to get the Raiders up to +6 vs. the Packers. I’m not a big fan of buying points, but I really like six and a potential push over 5.5. Finally, I decided to lay some big points with the 49ers on the road. The line is down to 9.5, but unfortunately I got in early on the 49ers at -10. I think the Kyle Shanahan revenge factor (he hates Dan Snyder) plays big in this one.
Here’s my full list of picks for Week 7. All odds courtesy of DraftKings Sportsbook, and are subject to change.
Chiefs @ Broncos (+3): Chiefs — WIN
Cardinals @ Giants (-3): Giants
Texans @ Colts (-1): Colts
Dolphins @ Bills (-16.5): Dolphins
Jaguars @ Bengals (+4): Bengals
49ers @ Washington (+9.5): 49ers
Raiders @ Packers (-4.5): Raiders
Vikings @ Lions (+2): Lions
Rams @ Falcons (+3): Falcons
Chargers @ Titans (-2.5): Titans
Saints @ Bears (-3.5): Bears
Ravens @ Seahawks (-3): Ravens
Eagles @ Cowboys (-2.5): Cowboys
Patriots @ Jets (+9.5): Jets
Giants @ Patriots (-16.5): Patriots — WIN
Panthers vs. Buccaneers, London (+2): Panthers — WIN
Eagles @ Vikings (-3.5): Eagles — LOSS
Seahawks @ Browns (+2): Browns — LOSS
Bengals @ Ravens (-10.5): Bengals — WIN
Washington @ Dolphins (+3.5): Washington — LOSS
Saints @ Jaguars (-1.5): Jaguars — LOSS
Texans @ Chiefs (-4): Chiefs — LOSS
Falcons @ Cardinals (+2.5): Falcons — LOSS
49ers @ Rams (-3.5): Rams — LOSS
Cowboys @ Jets (-7): Jets — WIN
Titans @ Broncos (-2): Titans — LOSS
Steelers @ Chargers (-6.5): Steelers — WIN
Lions @ Packers (-4.5): Packers — LOSS
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Odds and lines subject to change. See website for details.