This weekend we might see the Lions and Giants turn their game into a complete shootout. Both teams have below-average defenses and feature bombing quarterbacks, so the 49.5-point total—second-highest of Sunday’s main slate—could end being totally on point.
Honestly, is there anyone out there with the ability to bulk up his numbers more than Matthew Stafford—he just became the quickest to reach 40,000 passing yards in history. It’s known he’s been on a downtrend lately, yes, but he’s still able to rack up yards as no other in the league. Just last week, he lit up Minnesota to the tune of a massive 364 yards and four touchdowns (all to Marvin Jones Jr.!) on 30 completions. Going all the way back to the season opener, he also reached 385 yards back then. And his production numbers surely align with those tendencies: through Week 7 Stafford has thrown 13 touchdowns and is the QB7 with an average of 23.3 points per game. He’s had a couple of 14-point outings but Stafford is truly a 25-plus points per game quarterback in this league. Now with lead-running back Kerryon Johnson on the IR expect Stafford to keep bombing balls downfield and putting on even more staggering numbers.
Before you kill me: Daniel Jones isn’t Matthew Stafford. But Daniel Jones doesn’t fear to go for it on any snap he plays. Jones had a great debut as a starter in Week 3 (336 yards on 23 completions, two touchdowns passing and two touchdowns rushing for 28 yards), but he’s flopped quite a bit since that game. It should be noticed that he has kept up his long throws, logging 15 passes more than 20 yards downfield in his last five games combined, currently averaging an aDOT of 9.2 yards. Jones has thrown at least a touchdown in every game he has started, but he hasn’t been able to finish any contest without surrendering an interception. At the end of the day, Jones is just another rookie quarterback. And he could also consider himself lucky (in fantasy football) thanks to his legs, as he’s been able to pump up his scores a bit with three games running for 28 or more yards.
Fantasy football analysis, Lions QB Matthew Stafford, Giants QB Daniel Jones
Matthew Stafford is a weekly starter and practically matchup-proof in redraft leagues, and this week he’s the go-to play in DFS contests too. The Giants are giving up 23.4 points per game to opposing quarterbacks. They limited Kyler Murray (a rookie, remember) last week to 104 yards but their last couple of games against proven QBs (Kirk Cousins and Tom Brady) finished with New York surrendering 306 and 334 yards respectively. Jameis Winston and Dak Prescott hanged 380 and 405 on them too, and only the Cardinals and Washington QBs weren’t able to score either rushing or passing against them. Don’t be surprised if Stafford crosses the 350-yard mark this weekend for the second consecutive time.
Jones’ matchup isn’t bad against the Lions. In fact, it is better than that of Stafford. Detroit is also allowing 23.6 points per game, but in this case, the Lions have yet to limit an opposing quarterback to fewer than 259 passing yards. Cousins and Patrick Mahomes topped 300 yards each and the former threw four touchdowns against them last week. Detroit doesn’t know how to sack a quarterback, nor how to intercept them. Does Jones pose a risky play given what he’s done lately? Yes. But this looks like a favorable week for him in fantasy.
Matthew Stafford: Start
Daniel Jones: Start