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You don’t need to know anything about this game other than Jarvis Landry’s prediction: “We’re gonna win. I think it’s just that simple. We’re getting guys back healthy again, and we’re gonna win.” Uh oh, baby. Don’t buy the apology or later correction saying he means that the Browns “are going (there) to win”. That takes the fun from it, and pressure off a certain already-questioned quarterback ...
... whose name is Baker Mayfield. Let me put you in situation. Cleveland is 2-4 and has won their games against the Jets and the Ravens. They got trounced by San Francisco in Week 5— San Francisco, which happens to have a worse defense than the Patriots. Mayfield himself has struggled all season long with 11 interceptions, three fumbles and only five touchdowns to make up for it. But we’re here to root for Landry adding wood to the fire! Getting back to Mayfield’s performances, the former No. 1 overall pick has been bad. Full stop. His 14 fantasy points per game rank him behind Joe Flacco, Case Keenum, Kyle Allen or even Mason Rudolph. The connection with Odell Beckham Jr. has not been better than that with Landry. And the worst part of Cleveland’s schedule is just ahead. In a good matchup against the Seahawks in Cleveland’s last outing, Mayfield failed to complete 60% of his passes for the fourth time in six games this season, and while he tossed a touchdown and ran for another one, he was also picked three times. For someone as hyped as Mayfield was entering the season the results have not even come close to the expectations.
Tom Brady, on the other hand ... I’m not going to say it’s been gifted to him, but the 7-0 record New England currently has pretty much sums up the season he’s having: a relatively easy one in which the Patriots have finished every game but one with a seven-plus points difference in the scoreboard. Brady doesn’t scream “fantasy player,” but there aren’t many quarterbacks as consistent as he is. Even for a team with a receiving corps seemingly lacking talent — thus the trade for Mohammed Sanu — Brady has passed for 249-plus yards and one or more touchdowns in six of his seven games. He’s on a four-game streak of being intercepted, but the rest of his numbers are flawless and all of them combined make him a true matchup-proof weekly play. That’s because even facing bad teams in blowouts you still know he’ll be completing 20-plus passes, reaching 200 yards and more often than not throwing a couple of touchdowns.
Fantasy football analysis, Browns QB Baker Mayfield, Patriots QB Tom Brady
I’m not going to give this any suspense: don’t trust Jarvis Landry. Sit Mayfield against the Patriots. Sit any and every quarterback against the Patriots. Not only is Mayfield playing as such a random guy at the position, but I’m sure you have heard about the stout Patriots defense by now. Quick summary: best at points per game allowed to QBs (10.9), second-best in passing yards surrendered, one touchdown allowed, and 18 (!) passes intercepted. So, yes, kinda fade Mayfield this weekend.
About Brady, I can confidently say you can put all of your money on his name. Brady is Brady, which is already good, but the Browns will also help him be at his best in Week 8. Cleveland has surrendered 200-plus passing yards to every quarterback other than Jimmy Garoppolo and allowed at least two touchdown passes in every game but the one in Week 2 against the Sam Darnold-less Jets. Just in Week 6, Russell Wilson threw for 295 yards, his third-highest mark of the season. Cleveland makes every quarterback good, so Brady is an excellent play this weekend.
Start/Sit recommendation
Baker Mayfield: Sit
Tom Brady: Start