We’re through the quarter mark of the 2019 NFL season and headed into Week 5! We know who some of the best and worst teams are in the league, but there are still plenty of questions. Are the undefeated San Francisco 49ers one of the best teams in the league, or a paper tiger? The Denver Broncos and Cincinnati Bengals are both winless, but are they really competing with the Miami Dolphins for the No. 1 pick?
As we head into Week 5, we’re back to offer you advice for your NFL Survivor pools. The Los Angeles Chargers were the most popular pick last week and blew threw the Miami Dolphins after a slow start. However, the Los Angeles Rams were also a popular pick, and they were stunned by the Tampa Bay Buccaneers. Pools cleared out a lot of competitors with that upset.
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This week, the Detroit Lions and Miami Dolphins are on bye. This could be big because the Dolphins are the most popular team to pick against. Considering they host Washington next week, the next two weeks could make or break most Survivor pools.
If you’ve never taken part in such a pool, it involves picking one team each week that you think will win. If your team wins in Week 1, you can make a pick in Week 2. If your team wins in Week 2, you can make a pick in Week 3, and so on. The catch is that you cannot pick the same team twice. You could use a heavy favorite in Week 1, but you would not have access to them later in the year if you’re alive in the closing weeks.
Whether you are in a single-elimination or double-elimination contest, there is plenty of strategy in determining which team you will take each week. DK Nation is here to help with a look at safe choices, value choices, and potential traps.
Last week, we were hit or miss. The Chargers hit, the Rams did not, the Colts played out as a trap pick, the Seahawks won with ease, and we blew it with the Ravens over Browns as a value pick. In my two pools I took the Chargers and didn’t think twice about it.
On to Week 5 picks!
Thursday Night Football pick
Seattle Seahawks over Los Angeles Rams
Some people want to get their decision-making out of the way quickly. This is not a week to do that. The Seahawks host the Rams on TNF, and after opening as a slight underdog have settled as nearly two-point favorites. Divisional matchups can be a difficult call, and on a short week, it’s all the more so. It might be easy to undervalue LA after last week’s ugly loss to the Bucs, but let’s not forget that the Rams were probably a little overvalued when they were 3-0. I think we see Russell Wilson clean house and the Seahawks defense have a throwback effort.
Washington is joining Miami as an easy call to pick against. Dwayne Haskins might get the start over Case Keenum, but either way, Washington still stinks. You should probably save your Patriots play for later in the season, but I won’t begrudge just trying to advance — especially if you took a strike last week with the Rams.
The Jets will eventually get Sam Darnold back, and could be a dangerous team. But until then, they’re a mess at quarterback and an easy team to pick against. The Eagles might be worth saving for at Miami in Week 13, but if not, go to town.
Best value picks
Kansas City Chiefs over Indianapolis Colts
You might want to save Kansas City for home games against Oakland or Denver. I’m not a fan of divisional picks, except maybe the Patriots against the disaster teams in the AFC East. The Chiefs might be in that territory, but otherwise, it might be worth it to take your chances with KC sooner rather than later.
I think the Bears and Chargers both win their Week 5 matchups, but there are enough concerns for the sizable favorites. The Bears are playing Oakland in London, and that raises some potential questions and ways things can get weird. Meanwhile, as mentioned above, I’m not a big fan of divisional matchups.
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Odds and lines subject to change. See website for actual odds.
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