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Considering safe, value, trap picks for Week 9 Survivor pools

We had near upsets in Week 8, but it ended up quiet on that front. We’re back to help you prep your Week 9 Survivor pool strategy.

Buffalo Bills defensive tackle Jordan Phillips sacks Miami Dolphins quarterback Ryan Fitzpatrick during the third quarter at New Era Field. Rich Barnes-USA TODAY Sports

Welcome to Week 9! The NFL passes through the halfway point, and we still have two undefeated teams in the San Francisco 49ers and New England Patriots. On the other end, Miami and Cincinnati remain winless and going nowhere in a hurry.

As we head into Week 9, we’re back to offer you advice for your NFL Survivor pools. This week, the Bengals, Falcons, Rams, and Saints are on bye. The Saints might be turning back into a strong weekly pick, but the rest are shaky or bad.

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If you’ve never taken part in a Survivor pool, it involves picking one team each week that you think will win. If your team wins in Week 1, you can make a pick in Week 2. If your team wins in Week 2, you can make a pick in Week 3, and so on. The catch is that you cannot pick the same team twice. You could use a heavy favorite in Week 1, but you would not have access to them later in the year if you’re alive in the closing weeks.

Whether you are in a single-elimination or double-elimination contest, there is plenty of strategy in determining which team you will take each week. DK Nation is here to help with a look at safe choices, value choices, and potential traps.

Last week, my concern about the Saints as a trap pick proved entirely wrong. They are going to be a very popular pick next week against Atlanta. Otherwise I hit on the rest.

On to Week 9 picks!

Thursday Night Football pick

San Francisco 49ers over Arizona Cardinals

The 49ers are ten point favorites and should probably roll in this one. I would take the points with San Francisco given how strong their defense and run game are looking right now. Divisional road games on a short week can be traps, particularly given the NFC West’s recent history. But, the difference between these two is clear. The Cardinals did win three straight recently, but those came against Cincinnati, Atlanta, and the New York Giants. I won’t write off an upset entirely, but it’s hard to see.

Safest picks

Buffalo Bills over Washington

Washington is atrocious, with their only win coming against winless Miami. Maybe they shock the world, but I think the Bills bounce back and have little trouble beating Washington. Buffalo still holds some value moving forward, with their road game at Miami and home game against Denver in back-to-back weeks, so they might be worth saving.

Best value picks

Seattle Seahawks over Tampa Bay Buccaneers

The Seahawks face a potentially prolific Bucs offense that also has a pretty horrendous defense. The rest of the Seahawks schedule features enough tough contests that you might as well cash in now. Their best remaining matchup is at home against Arizona.

Trap pick

Dallas Cowboys over New York Giants

Divisional road games are my least favorite picks in Survivor. The Cowboys face a Giants team that getting healthier, and frankly, the Cowboys are not super impressive right now. Dallas probably wins, but this is a dicey one.