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What Week 5 RB performance tells us about Week 6 DFS salaries

A week after the running back position exploded with production, Steve Buchanan looks at Phillip Lindsay and Damien Williams to put up big numbers ahead of their Week 6 matchups.

Denver Broncos running back Phillip Lindsay runs the ball in the fourth quarter against the Chicago Bears at Empower Field at Mile High. Isaiah J. Downing-USA TODAY Sports

It’s usually a rare feat to see a 50+ DKFP performance on a given week but Week 5 brought us three of them, two coming at the running back position. While Christian McCaffrey doing so shouldn’t be all that surprising, Aaron Jones doing so was a bit more shocking. Unfortunately, neither player is on the main slate in Week 6, so we’ll look at two other backs and how their DraftKings salaries could affect perception into their matchups.

Phillip Lindsay ($5,300) vs. Titans

Lindsay posted one of his best performances so far this season, carrying the ball 15 times for 114 yards and a touchdown. He also mixed in some points through the air, catching all four of his targets for an additional 33 yards. When all was said and done, he helped lead the Broncos to a shocking 20-13 win over the Chargers, giving them their first win of the season.

Lindsay sees a modest $400 bump in salary ahead of their Week 6 matchup against the Titans. Aside from the Colts rushing for 142 yards against them in Week 2, the Titans have held the opposition to under 100 rushing yards per game. In fact, in the other four games, opposing backs have averaged just 68 rushing yards per game. While that all sounds well and good, I think it’s fair to point out that the Titans really haven’t faced many tough backs. Nick Chubb accounted for 75 of the 92 yards in Week 1 and Marlon Mack had 51 of the 142 in Week 2. Aside from that, the Titans have faced names like Devonta Freeman, Frank Gore and held Leonard Fournette to 66 yards.

I think this a good spot for Lindsay, who is never really scripted out of a game. He’s averaging 4.6 targets and 28.4 receiving yards per game. While he and Royce Freeman are in a true 50/50 split, Linsday still provides enough upside to consider even with the bump in salary. Linsday has been the preferred option in the red zone as well, as Freeman has yet to take a red zone carry on the year.

Damien Williams ($5,700) vs. Texans

Williams returned after a two-week absence due to a knee injury in Week 5 against the Colts. Not many could have predicted how this game played out, as the Colts would not only win by a score of 19-13 but keep the Chiefs to just 22:45 possession. Between that and likely holding Williams back from a full workload, we only saw him carry the ball nine times for 23 yards and caught three of his four targets for an additional 15 yards, good for 6.8 DKFP. With this game playing in primetime on Sunday, Williams’ salary stays steady at $5,700 ahead of a Week 6 clash against the Texans.

After a disappointing return, Williams is in line for a really good bounce-back spot against the Texans’ defense. While they’ve been good on the ground, they’ve allowed the second-most receiving yards and 336, which only trails the Bengals. They’ve allowed at least 40 yards in each week and over the past two gave up 86 and 85 to the Panthers and Falcons. Williams is very involved through the air and is averaging five targets per game. In what’s likely expected to be a shootout, Williams should have ample opportunities to regain the trust of fantasy owners and at an overall cheap price point to boot. Don’t be afraid to go back to the well.

I am a promoter at DraftKings and am also an avid fan and user (my username is Steveazors) and may sometimes play on my personal account in the games that I offer advice on. Although I have expressed my personal view on the games and strategies above, they do not necessarily reflect the view(s) of DraftKings and I may also deploy different players and strategies than what I recommend above. I am not an employee of DraftKings and do not have access to any non-public information.