All sarcasm aside, this is actually one of the week’s most interesting games to bet on. I highlighted it in my Early Look Odds article from Monday when the spread was +4.5 to Miami. I was thinking the line would grow, but instead it has gone down to +3.5. In my mind, that makes it an even easier bet. The NFL trade deadline occurred this week, and, despite some rumors, Sam Darnold (DFS salary $5,900) will still have Robby Anderson ($5,500) to throw to. We can acknowledge Darnold’s recent woes (seven interceptions in two games), but he’s also thrown two touchdowns in each of the last two. The Dolphins have the fewest takeaways (three) this season, which makes for a perfect opponent for Darnold to finally shake those ghosts.
As we saw on Monday night, Miami just doesn’t have it in them to win. Whether it’s because the play calling is causing the Dolphins to #TankForTua, or because they’re just straight up bad, no one knows for sure. But what we do know is they gave up 27 unanswered points to lose 27-14 to the Steelers. We also know that the Dolphins can’t stop the run. With Le’Veon Bell ($7,700) yet to eclipse 100 rushing yards in a game this season and only reaching the endzone once on the ground, this is exactly what he needs to get going. There were also some trade talks being thrown around about Bell, so those will serve as extra motivation this week.
The Jets haven’t won in Miami since 2015. Now is the time to end the four-year drought. I’d still take New York at -4.5, so I’m obviously sticking with them at -3.5. This is one of the few times that I will pick the Jets to win this season, so enjoy it New York fans.
All odds provided by DraftKings Sportsbook and all odds subject to change.
Jets at Dolphins
Point Spread: Dolphins +3.5
Total Points: 42.5
Money Line: Jets -177; Dolphins +155
Overall: Jets 1-6; Dolphins 0-7
ATS: Jets 2-5; Dolphins 3-4
O/U: Jets 3-4; Dolphins 2-5
Notable Prop Bets
- Robby Anderson over 3.5 receptions: +110
- Le’Veon Bell to score 2+ TDs: +200
- DeVante Parker to score a TD: +275
- Ryan Fitzpatrick over 1.5 passing TDs: +140
- The Dolphins have lost each of their last 10 games.
- The road team has covered the spread in 10 of the Jets’ last 14 games.
- Five of the Jets’ last six games as road favorites have gone UNDER the total points line.
Odds and lines subject to change. See website for actual odds.
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