I must be the number one fan of Josh Allen, and no one will talk me out of it. You might think Allen is not as good as other players in the league, and you would be right. Allen is “only” the fantasy QB14 this season so far. But there is no player averaging more points per game with a lower variance in the NFL. Allen’s 20.2 average and 4.4-point variance put his floor at a great 16 points and although his ceiling is not overly high (25 points), he’s a weekly play just due to his constant reliability.
Just this past week against Washington he threw another touchdown (he’s got 10 in the season) and avoided throwing an interception for the third consecutive week. While he could only rack up 160 passing yards, he did so with a 70% completion rate and added a touchdown on the ground (he has four in the season). As I have said, Allen is probably not the most exciting player in the world, but he’s the one you can confidently bank on week after week. He’s a lock to score you 20 points, limits his mistakes on the passing game and brings rushing upside. Can’t ask for much more.
Fantasy Football Analysis, Buffalo Bills QB Josh Allen
The Bills face the Browns this weekend and I don’t know if that means good or bad news. On one hand, Cleveland can’t be in a worse position as a franchise. There are cracks all around the place and the team is crumbling, plus their defense hasn’t been good at stopping quarterbacks this year: they rank 21st in points allowed to QBs and Football Outsiders have them 18th in pass defense DVOA. On the other hand, that might motivate them to put on a show once for all. And that’s it, because that’s easier said than done.
Cleveland enters this weekend’s game as a three-point favorite on the lowest total of Sunday’s main slate at 40 points. This match can turn into a grind, and Buffalo might indeed be forced to throw the ball if they want to beat the Browns. I can’t say it clearer than I did in the first two paragraphs: start Allen if you are content with getting 20 points from him, because those are locked in. If you need a booming player with a really high ceiling if all goes well you can skip him, but other than that, Allen is as solid a play as they get.