The Arizona Cardinals offense has been inconsistent at best, but Larry Fitzgerald and Christian Kirk continue to lead the way in targets for the receivers. Kirk missed three games due to an ankle injury, but when he’s been healthy, he leads the team with 6.3 receptions on 8.8 targets per game. Fitzgerald is second with 4.7 receptions on seven targets per game.
Unfortunately, Kirk has yet to score a touchdown, and Fitzgerald hasn’t found the end zone since Week 3 and has two total to his name. Kirk’s three-game absence should also be taken into account, an absence that included gorgeous passing matchups against the Bengals, Falcons, and Giants. And the games he has played have come against the Lions, Ravens, Panthers, Seahawks, Saints, and 49ers. Those of you with Kirk on your team can’t be all that happy about missing those matchups.
Fantasy football analysis: Arizona Cardinals WRs Christian Kirk, Larry Fitzgerald
In Week 10, the Cardinals travel to Tampa Bay to face a weak Buccaneers pass defense. But the better news for those looking to play Kyler Murray and his pass-catchers is that the Bucs are stout against rushers, allowing the third-fewest fantasy points to running backs and ranking first in DVOA against the run.
Against the pass, Tampa Bay ranks 26th in DVOA and last in fantasy points allowed to wide receivers. On the year, they’ve given up 15.1 receptions, 197.3 yards and 1.5 touchdowns per game to wide receivers. You really can’t ask for much more than that, but wait, there’s more! Jameis Winston, Mike Evans, and Chris Godwin are asked to put up big points due to their defense allowing the second-most points per game, and they’ve obliged with the fourth-most in the league. ON the other side of the field, the Cardinals give up the fifth-most points per game and have allowed the second-most fantasy points to quarterbacks. This big jumbled mess all equates to a shootout in Tampa Bay.
Tampa Bay is favored by -4.5 points, and the matchup has the highest over/under of the week at 52.5 total points. If the Cardinals won’t be able to run and they’re underdogs in a projected high-scoring game against a weak pass defense, then I think we’ve got our start/sit answer for Kirk and Fitzgerald.
Traditional Fantasy Start/Sit Recommendation
Start Kirk as a WR2/3.
Start Fitzgerald as a WR4.
DraftKings DFS Recommendation
Fitzgerald’s price is $5,500, and Kirk’s is $5,200. Neither has the stats to back up those prices, but the matchup dictates they aren’t super cheap. Of the two, Kirk is easily the most targeted, as well as the least ravaged by age. Fitzgerald hasn’t seen more than four targets in his last three games and also hasn’t topped 38 yards, and his yearly drop off might have come early in 2019.
Kirk isn’t a must-play at his price, but I love his upside this week, and I’ll target this matchup quite often in my lineups. It might be tough to play David Johnson with Kenyan Drake in the mix confidently, so a Murray-Kirk stack is a must in GPP lineups for me.