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An early look at the opening point spreads and intriguing spots in Week 11

Week 10 wraps up Monday evening, but in the meantime, Week 11 lines are arriving. We break down the early lines and where it looks intriguing.

Oakland Raiders running back Josh Jacobs scores the game-winning touchdown against the Los Angeles Chargers during the fourth quarter at Oakland Coliseum. Kyle Terada-USA TODAY Sports

Imagine how boring the NFL would be if everything we expected actually happened? Thankfully, there are still plenty of surprises each week. The Dolphins beat the Colts in Indy to win two in a row. Baker and the Browns got their first win at home against the Bills. Tannehill and the Titans toppled the Chiefs in Mahomes’ return, keeping the playoff hopes alive. And, most surprisingly, the Falcons blew out the Saints in the Superdome even with New Orleans coming off of its bye week. Brees and Co. will be keeping a close eye on tonight’s MNF game between two of the NFC’s top teams. But for now, we’re going to look ahead to Week 11’s betting odds.

The betting odds may change as each game approaches its kickoff time. When that time is near, we’ll break down each matchup in more detail. In the meantime, here are a couple of the games that I have my eyes on.

I mentioned Miami’s big win in Indianapolis already. You can’t blame the players for trying their hardest, but this is really going to affect the Dolphins’ shot at getting the first overall pick. They host the Bills next week, but that’s not where I want to focus. Instead, the Colts open as three-point home favorites against the Jaguars, and it’s a must-win for both teams. Jacksonville will be well-rested from their bye week and could potentially jump ahead of the Colts in the Wild Card race with a win. But if Jacoby Brissett (MCL sprain) gets the green light, Colts -3 line seems very enticing. He was practicing last week and was ruled out late, giving Brian Hoyer the start. With Brissett trending towards playing in Week 11, I’d take the Colts to cover at home.

Speaking of the AFC Wild Card race, the Oakland Raiders have jumped right into the conversation with a Thursday night win over the LA Chargers. Technically, we should be throwing them in the discussion for the AFC West title race after the Chiefs lost to the Titans, putting the Raiders just one win back. To keep pace, they’ll have the wonderful opportunity to play the winless Bengals in Week 11. Yes, the Bengals that just lost 49-13 to the Ravens. Yes, the Bengals who have lost by 10+ points more than 50% of the time this season. While the spread favors the Raiders at home with 10 points, let’s keep in mind that they’re highest margin of victory this season is only eight points. Oakland has a knack for close games, but it’s hard to imagine a situation where a Ryan Finley-led Cincinnati team can do anything remotely significant. I’ll take the Raiders to cover.

As of Monday morning, the Cowboys/Lions and Broncos/Vikings odds have yet to be released.

All odds provided by DraftKings Sportsbook and all odds subject to change.

Thursday Night

Steelers (+2.5) at Browns

Sunday, 1pm ET

Bills at Dolphins (+6.5)
Texans (+4.5) at Ravens
Saints at Buccaneers (+5)
Jets (+2) at Washington
Jaguars (+3) at Colts
Falcons (+6.5) at Panthers
Cowboys at Lions
Broncos at Vikings

Sunday, 4pm ET

Cardinals (+13.5) at 49ers
Patriots at Eagles (+3)
Bengals (+10) at Raiders

Sunday Night

Bears (+6.5) at Rams

Monday Night

Chiefs at Chargers (+3.5)

Bye Week Teams: Packers, Giants, Seahawks, Titans

Odds and lines subject to change. See website for actual odds.
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