Imagine how boring the NFL would be if everything we expected actually happened? Thankfully, there are still plenty of surprises each week. The Dolphins beat the Colts in Indy to win two in a row. Baker and the Browns got their first win at home against the Bills. Tannehill and the Titans toppled the Chiefs in Mahomes’ return, keeping the playoff hopes alive. And, most surprisingly, the Falcons blew out the Saints in the Superdome even with New Orleans coming off of its bye week. Brees and Co. will be keeping a close eye on tonight’s MNF game between two of the NFC’s top teams. But for now, we’re going to look ahead to Week 11’s betting odds.
The betting odds may change as each game approaches its kickoff time. When that time is near, we’ll break down each matchup in more detail. In the meantime, here are a couple of the games that I have my eyes on.
I mentioned Miami’s big win in Indianapolis already. You can’t blame the players for trying their hardest, but this is really going to affect the Dolphins’ shot at getting the first overall pick. They host the Bills next week, but that’s not where I want to focus. Instead, the Colts open as three-point home favorites against the Jaguars, and it’s a must-win for both teams. Jacksonville will be well-rested from their bye week and could potentially jump ahead of the Colts in the Wild Card race with a win. But if Jacoby Brissett (MCL sprain) gets the green light, Colts -3 line seems very enticing. He was practicing last week and was ruled out late, giving Brian Hoyer the start. With Brissett trending towards playing in Week 11, I’d take the Colts to cover at home.
Speaking of the AFC Wild Card race, the Oakland Raiders have jumped right into the conversation with a Thursday night win over the LA Chargers. Technically, we should be throwing them in the discussion for the AFC West title race after the Chiefs lost to the Titans, putting the Raiders just one win back. To keep pace, they’ll have the wonderful opportunity to play the winless Bengals in Week 11. Yes, the Bengals that just lost 49-13 to the Ravens. Yes, the Bengals who have lost by 10+ points more than 50% of the time this season. While the spread favors the Raiders at home with 10 points, let’s keep in mind that they’re highest margin of victory this season is only eight points. Oakland has a knack for close games, but it’s hard to imagine a situation where a Ryan Finley-led Cincinnati team can do anything remotely significant. I’ll take the Raiders to cover.
All odds provided by DraftKings Sportsbook and all odds subject to change.
Steelers (+2.5) at Browns
Sunday, 1pm ET
Sunday, 4pm ET
Chiefs at Chargers (+3.5)
Odds and lines subject to change. See website for actual odds.
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