clock menu more-arrow no yes

Filed under:

Tyler Herro, Justise Winslow lead lengthy Heat injury report ahead of matchup vs. Pistons [UPDATE]

James Johnson, Tyler Herro are out while Kelly Olynyk is available to play tonight against Detroit. We break down what the news means for DFS and season-long.

Miami Heat head coach Erik Spoelstra talks with guard Tyler Herro in the third quarter against the Minnesota Timberwolves at Target Center. Marilyn Indahl-USA TODAY Sports

Things may not be so hot in South Beach for the Heat tonight vs. the Pistons.

The afternoon Heat injury report is long, per Ira Winderman of the South Florida Sun Sentinel.

So here’s the run down:
Kelly Olynyk (knee) — available to play

Tyler Herro (ankle) — out
Justise Winslow (concussion) — out
Derrick Jones Jr. (hip) — out
Dion Waiters (suspension) — out
James Johnson (illness) — out

UPDATE: And the last two dominos are down. Herro has been ruled out and Olynyk will play. With Herro sidelined, the Heat should lean heavily on Jimmy Butler ($7,800) and Goran Dragic ($5,600) in the backcourt with Kendrick Nunn ($4,700) and Duncan Robinson ($3,700) also seeing more minutes. Olynyk ($3,900) makes for a decent value if he sees around 20-25 minutes, but this knocks Meyers Leonard down a notch. Leonard isn’t really viable given the other values on the slate. Same goes for Silva.

In season-long, Nunn isn’t a bad scoop-up option. He could get more minutes in garbage time if the Heat pull away.

UPDATE: We’ve got our first domino to fall in Johnson, who is listed as out. Herro and Olynyk remain questionable as of the 5:30 p.m. ET NBA injury report. With Johnson out, we should see more Meyers Leonard ($3,900) and possibly Chris Silva ($3,000), though he would likely need to play if Olynyk also sits.

So with all this news to track, let’s try and break down what it means for both DFS and season-long formats.

The most obvious benefactors are both studs for the Heat: Jimmy Butler ($7,800 on DraftKings) and Bam Adebayo ($6,800). Both are priced down relative to the matchup, and if Herro and Olynyk are out, Butler and Bam would be in line for heavy minutes (which they are already accustomed to).

If Herro is out, Kendrick Nunn ($4,700) and Duncan Robinson ($3,700) should see additional playing time as well. Depending on how the game script shakes out, they would see some run in garbage time. Although with all these injuries, the Pistons may be able to keep things close. Right now, the line remains Heat favored by 7.5 points, which I'd expect gets pushed down with Miami’s rotation thin.

If Olynyk and Johnson are both out, Meyers Leonard ($3,900) isn’t a bad DFS option in tournaments and a decent plug-and-play in season-long. Leonard would have to play most of the front court minutes in garbage time as well.