The Saints are coming off of a disaster of a loss to division-rival Atlanta. Despite being two touchdown favorites and playing at home, New Orleans managed to score just nine points against the 30th-ranked defense by Football Outsiders DVOA. Now they will face another division opponent, and will look for a wildly different result. The team has been much more dynamic offensively with Drew Brees in the fold, despite last week’s results. They average 9.1 yards per pass attempt and 5.5 yards per rush with Brees in, and just 7.3 and 4.0 yards per play respectively when Brees is off the field. Defensively, they rank inside of the top 10 in yards per play allowed.
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Tampa Bay beat the Cardinals in a wild back-and-forth game, but this will be a totally different test for them. The Bucs are 25th in adjusted net yards per pass attempt allowed, and just 21st in the statistic on offense. A big part of their lack of offensive success has to deal with Jameis Winston taking too many sacks. Tampa has a team sack rate of 8.7%, sixth-worst in the league. The team has scored at least 26 points in three of four home games this year.
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Saints at Bucs
Point Spread: Bucs +5.5
Total Points: 50.5
Money Line: Bucs +195; Saints -225
Overall 2019: Saints 7-2; Bucs 3-6
ATS 2019: Saints 6-3; Bucs 2-7
O/U 2019: Saints 4-5; Bucs 7-2
Saints: CB Marshon Lattimore (hamstring) out, OL Andrus Peat (arm) out
Bucs: LB Carl Nassib (groin) out, LB Anthony Nelson (hamstring) out, CB Carlton Davis (hip) questionable
Notable Prop Bets
Saints Total Touchdowns - Over 3.5 +145, Under 3.5 -195
Bucs Total Points - Over 22.5 -120, Under 22.5 -108
Total Game Touchdowns - Over 5.5 -120, Under 5.5 -113
First to 30 Points - Saints +125, Bucs +360, Tie +116
- The Saints have won six of their last seven games.
- The Saints have covered the spread in 10 of their last 11 Sunday road games.
- Each of the Buccaneers’ last seven games have gone OVER the total points line.
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Odds and lines subject to change. See website for details.