The Sunday night game this week features two of the more disappointing teams in the league. Coming into the season, most people thought the Rams and Bears would be playoff bound teams coming off breakout seasons. Instead, we find them in the middle of the pack more than halfway through the season. Now the Bears (+1400) and Rams (+300) are priced as long shots to make it to the playoffs.
There are some struggles in the overlap of both of the teams. Most notably, they both have young quarterbacks that showed promise at times last year and have regressed in a big way this season. For me, one of the biggest mysteries of this season is why did Mitch Trubisky stop running the football? He has never been a great thrower although he was able to open up the Bears’ offense last season with his feet. Trubisky rushed for 421 yards last season and was a decent option for fantasy purposes because of the work he did with his legs. This season, he is yet to rush for more than 15 yards in a game. For the sake of comparison, he only rushed for under 15 yards in three regular season games last season.
For Jared Goff, turnovers have been a big problem. Last season, he had a stellar 32:12 touchdown to interception ratio. This season, Goff is at 11:9. This can partially be blamed on a tougher division and a tougher schedule, but we can’t deny that Goff has regressed. In particular, he’s struggling on the road or when facing a team with a strong pass rush. The good news for Goff is that he’s at home. The bad news is that Kahlil Mack is lining up on the other side of the football. The Bears are ranked seventh in the league in pass defense DVOA.
Trusting either of these quarterbacks is going to be difficult on SNF. This figures to be grinding game without many points put up on the board. The winner could very well be decided by which team makes the most plays on defense.
All odds provided by DraftKings Sportsbook and all odds subject to change.
Bears at Rams
Point Spread: Bears +6
Total Points: 39.5
Money Line: Bears +220; Rams -265
Overall: Bears 4-5; Rams 5-4
ATS: Bears 3-6; Rams 6-3
O/U: Bears 3-6; Rams 3-6
- Trey Burton (TE) - Out
- Isaiah Irving (LB) - Out
- Danny Trevathan (LB) - Out
- David Montgomery (RB) - Questionable
- Adam Shaheen (TE) - Out
- Bilal Nichols (DT) - TBD
- Rob Havenstein (T) - TBD
- Tyler Higbee (TE) - TBD
- Darious Williams (DB) - TBD
- Brandin Cooks (WR) - TBD
- Gerald Everett (TE) - TBD
- Johnny Mundt (TE) - TBD
Notable Prop Bets
- David Montgomery to score a TD: +150
- Tarik Cohen to score first TD: +750
- The favorites have won each of the Bears’ last eight Week 11 games.
- The Rams have covered the spread in eight of their last 10 games against NFC opponents.
- Each of the Bears’ last six games against NFC West opponents have gone UNDER the totals points line.
- Todd Gurley II has scored at least one touchdown in each of the Rams’ last four home games against NFC North opponents
- Cooper Kupp has scored at least one touchdown in each of his last six appearances in night games.
Odds and lines subject to change. See website for actual odds.
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