You’ll find all kinds of DFS fantasy rankings, values, best/worst plays on DK Nation, but what about just identifying the good chalk? I play almost completely in cash games during NFL season, and it’s really important to know who we can trust, and who we can’t.
New to the cash game scene? Cash games on DK refer to double-ups, 50-50s and head-to-heads — all of which roughly the top half of the field doubles its money.
Here are the plays that jump out in Week 11:
Lamar Jackson ($7,700) vs. HOU — Rushing ability makes him as safe as it gets, and HOU ranks 26th in DKFP allowed to QB. Close point spread should help with him not getting pulled — Jackson scored over 33 DKFP in three quarters last week. Problem will be fitting him at this price tag.
Kyle Allen ($5,300) vs. ATL — Atlanta ranks just 23rd versus QBs this season, and the number is a little skewed after completely shutting down the Saints last week. Welcome the discount at QB in a great matchup.
Jeff Driskel ($4,600) vs. DAL — We need to find savings on this slate, so a QB for under $5,000 has to be in consideration. Driskel had 19 DKFP in Chicago last week, and is able to get some production with his legs.
Christian McCaffrey ($10,500) vs. ATL — Another week, another 30(ish) DKFP for CMC. He’s a lock in cash games, and surprisingly didn’t go up in salary this week. Makes him good “value” as a home favorite, since he was the same price as a road dog last week.
Dalvin Cook ($8,900) vs. DEN — Again, there’s only so much salary to go alone. Cook is another safe option to pay up for, but I prefer the options priced above him. Denver ranks 22nd versus RB, and Cook’s shown a higher ceiling than ‘Zeke so far this season.
Josh Jacobs ($6,900) vs. CIN — The rookie has at least 17 touches and double-digit DKFP in six straight games. Now he faces a Cincy defense that ranks 28th in DKFP allowed to RB. He should see a huge workload at home as a double-digit favorite.
Brian Hill ($4,800) at CAR — Hill provides some much needed value on this slate, and should see extremely high ownership. Carolina surprisingly ranks 29th in DKFP allowed to RB, and Hill racked up 21 touches last week, even with Devonta Freeman getting 13 touches before going down. Freeman and Ito Smith remain out for this one.
Michael Thomas ($9,900) at TB — Thomas is the WR equivalent of CMC, averaging over 25 DKFP, with a very high ceiling. He went off for almost 45 DKFP against Tampa earlier in the season, and the Bucs ranks second-worst in DKFP allowed to WR.
Julian Edelman ($7,600) at PHI — Edelman’s been targeted at least 11 times in each of his last four games. Look for that to continue against a stout Philly run defense, with a secondary Tom Brady should be able to pick apart.
Julio Jones ($7,500) at CAR — Julio’s at a pretty affordable price for his standards. He had a shaky week in New Orleans, bringing in just 3-of-9 targets, but the volume is there. Jones has historically had some of the best games of his career against the Panthers.
D.J. Moore ($5,900) vs. ATL — Moore’s been targeted at least eight times in each of his last five games, topping 15 DKFP in four of those outings. The Falcons rank just 26th in DKFP allowed to WR.
Deebo Samuel ($4,000) vs. ARI — The 49ers are extremely banged up on offense, which should leave more opportunities for Samuel against a soft Arizona defense. Samuel broke out on MNF against Seattle, securing 8-of-11 targets for 112 yards.
Zach Ertz ($5,000) vs. NE — Ertz finally had the big game we’ve been waiting for, bringing in 9-of-11 targets for over 100 yards and a touchdown in his last game. Even against the Patriots, look for a huge target share with Alshon Jeffery ruled out.
Greg Olsen ($3,900) vs. ATL — Olsen saw 10 targets last week, catching eight for 98 yards. The Falcons rank 24th in DKFP allowed to TE.
Jets ($3,100) at WAS/Redskins ($2,800) vs. NYJ — This is the safest game to target for D/ST purposes. With a total sinking below 40, and very limited offensive options, look for a couple underrated defenses to exceed value. Ownership should go to these two teams.
I am a promoter at DraftKings and am also an avid fan and user (my username is jedlow) and may sometimes play on my personal account in the games that I offer advice on. Although I have expressed my personal view on the games and strategies above, they do not necessarily reflect the view(s) of DraftKings and I may also deploy different players and strategies than what I recommend above. I am not an employee of DraftKings and do not have access to any non-public information.