Don’t get fooled by the 49ers 9-1 record this season and think San Francisco has reached it thanks to its quarterback efforts. Jimmy Garoppolo is not the worst quarterback in the league, but he is nothing close to great either. He has looked the part, got the job done, and gone with the flow as the rest of his teammates. Basically, Garoppolo has been a good real-life quarterback (get those wins) but a bad fantasy football play (low weekly points).
Garoppolo is just the QB24 in fantasy points per game and QB21 in total points in the season, which makes him a borderline QB2 and leaves him far from a starter spot in fantasy lineups. His 14 touchdowns are about average among starting quarterbacks but his eight interceptions are plain bad (eighth-most in the league). Garoppolo has racked up more than 250 yards three times this season while falling short of 200 in four games, making him a touchdown-dependent player. In fact, Garoppolo has bested 20 fantasy points only twice this season and he needed to throw at least three touchdowns to get there. He scored 27.6 and 32.1 FP in those games, but his average of 17.3 points on the season is much closer to his true level.
Fantasy Football Analysis, San Francisco 49ers QB Jimmy Garoppolo
I find it hard to advise anyone to start Garoppolo any time, but this weekend looks like one of the very few times you can do it without worrying too much about it. Just two weeks ago Garoppolo faced Arizona and he had his best game of the year: 317 yards and four (!) touchdowns on 28 completions (75.7 completion rate). Those counting stats were all season-highs for Garoppolo and the Cardinals had no idea how to stop him—not surprising, though, as they rank dead-last in fantasy points allowed to the position.
By no means is Garoppolo a 300-yard, multi-touchdown weekly passer. He has thrown for two-plus TDs three times this year and has bested 300 yards just once. But he did so against Arizona and the 49ers will look to get back to the winning column. I doubt Garoppolo will reach 32 fantasy points again but he should surpass the 20-point mark without a problem. Don’t expect another week-leading performance (Garoppolo has reached 20 points twice all season, after all...), but he should be a good streaming option this weekend against a pretty bad Cardinals defense.