If you’re a DFS player, you know that a successful lineup has to have a solid combination of big-name star power players that are known commodities with a few high-upside players that provide a little more bang for your buck.
If you pay up for a big name in your daily fantasy lineup, you definitely cannot afford for that player to put up a dud of a game in your lineup.
So here are the wide receivers that will likely provide some of the best and worst value for Week 12 (Values from DraftKings).
BEST: Calvin Ridley (ATL) - $6,500
Without Mohamed Sanu, it’s Calvin Ridley who will be stepping up as the number two wide receiver for the Atlanta Falcons, who look like they’ve finally turned a corner in 2019. The Falcons face the NFL’s worst secondary in the Tampa Bay Buccaneers, but the Bucs will likely be forced to compensate for their short-comings by doubling Julio Jones (the second-most expensive wide receiver in daily fantasy this week). Instead of Julio, who will get all of the attention from opposing corners and daily fantasy players, start Ridley, who will likely feast all game as Matt Ryan’s second look in his reads.
WORST: Michael Thomas (NO) - $9,300
Speaking of double-teams, eventually opposing defenses will realize the key to stopping the New Orleans Saints passing attack is to double team Michael Thomas. Thomas and the Saints are facing off this week against the division rival Carolina Panthers, and Ron Rivera always makes it a point for his unit to be solid on defense. If any defensive group will be able to stop Thomas in 2019, it will be a group that knows him better than any other - Ron Rivera and the Carolina Panthers, who have faced Thomas twice a year (or more, including the playoffs) each year since Thomas entered the league. Considering Thomas - the most expensive wide receiver in daily fantasy this week - is $1,300 more expensive than the next highest receiver, there’s just no reason to pony up for Thomas this week.
BEST: Allen Robinson (CHI) - $6,500
Is Mitchell Trubisky the starting quarterback for the Chicago Bears moving forward? That’s the question that will attract all of the attention in Chicago this week. In the event the Bears opt for Chase Daniel at the helm, it is likely an update for the Bears on offense, especially in the passing game. A change at quarterback and a matchup against the New York Giants and the NFL’s 4th-worst defense against opposing wide receivers, and Robinson should be able to have a solid game for a decent price.
WORST: Amari Cooper (DAL) - $6,600
If the Buccaneers are the worst defense against opposing wide receivers, who is the best? That would be the New England Patriots. And who do the Patriots have on their schedule in Week 12? The Dallas Cowboys. Dak Prescott is trying to sling the ball around to justify the hefty contract he’s demanding, but unlike Allen Robinson on the Bears, there are other receivers on the Cowboys who have been stepping up. Michael Gallup and Randall Cobb have been solid of late, so even if Dak is able to find success moving the ball against the Patriots, there’s no guarantee it’s Cooper who plays a large roll in the process.
I am a promoter at DraftKings and am also an avid fan and user (my username is cdunnz) and may sometimes play on my personal account in the games that I offer advice on. Although I have expressed my personal view on the games and strategies above, they do not necessarily reflect the view(s) of DraftKings and I may also deploy different players and strategies than what I recommend above. I am not an employee of DraftKings and do not have access to any non-public information.