It’s all about finding value when playing NFL slates on DraftKings, especially if it’s low-owned value. It’s also about not throwing a lot of salary into a player who underperforms. Each week, because of injury, personnel moves and that occasional hidden gem that no one sees coming, there are player with low salaries and even lower ownership that help break a slate wide open. Then there are those who are covered in red flags. Here are our picks for the best and worst value quarterbacks on DraftKings entering Week 12:
Best quarterback values
Baker Mayfield, Cleveland Browns vs. Miami Dolphins ($5,900)
Given what happened in the final seconds of last Thursday’s game, it would be easy to forget that Mayfield had a pretty nice night for himself in leading the Browns to a second straight win that keeps Cleveland’s playoff hopes flickering. Mayfield threw for two touchdowns and ran for a third, putting up 21.8 DraftKings points. Now with some wind at his back, Mayfield draws a plum matchup against the Dolphins, who just let Josh Allen go bonkers. Throw in some Revenge Game narrative for Jarvis Landry and you might have a nice little stacking option here.
Jeff Driskel, Detroit Lions at Washington ($5,500)
Driskel has done a very nice job for the Lions with Matthew Stafford on the shelf. He was particularly effective against the Cowboys, also throwing for a pair of touchdowns while rushing for one Driskel also ran for 51 yards after rushing for 37 in his first game two weeks ago. Those rushing numbers really elevate Driskel’s viability, and he should be free to do what he wants against a bad Washington team.
Chase Daniel, Chicago Bears vs. New York Giants ($5,000)
You have undoubtably detected a theme here: We are attacking bad pass defenses at every turn, and if Mitchell Trubisky is unable to play this Sunday, Daniel is in prime position to exploit his cheap salary against a team in the bottom quarter of the league against the pass. Daniel threw the ball 30 times in each of his two starts earlier in the year, so the Bears wouldn’t be trying to hide him if he starts.
Worst quarterback values
Jameis Winston, Tampa Bay Buccaneers at Atlanta Falcons ($6,200)
Imagine being a Falcons fan and wondering where in the world this back-to-back set of defensive gems has been all season. It’s too late for the Falcons to make the playoffs, but they are selling out to keep Dan Quinn employed. Winston has been putting up decent numbers on a weekly basis, but he is dealing with a left ankle injury and he threw four interceptions on Sunday. If the Falcons bring it again on defense, Winston is probably in for a long day.
Derek Carr, Oakland Raiders at New York Jets ($6,100)
In Week 13, the Raiders face the Chiefs in a direct battle for first place in the AFC West. This young, emotional Raiders team will almost certainly be be looking ahead to that epic battle when they take the field against the Jets this weekend. Add in the fact that the Raiders never play well in the early window on the East Coast and you have a classic letdown spot for Carr and Co. And the Jets aren’t exactly defensive pushovers, either.
Tom Brady, New England Patriots vs. Dallas Cowboys ($6,000)
On one hand, we have a Squeaky Wheel narrative developing in New England, as Brady’s frustration with his offense came leaking out after Sunday’s win over the Eagles and continued into Monday. But on the other hand, what can the Patriots reasonably do to fix it? Brady has topped 15 DK points just once over his past four games. The Cowboys rank seventh in passing yards allowed, with just 217 per game, and are allowing fewer than 20 points per game. We are just not bullish on the GOAT.
I am a promoter at DraftKings and am also an avid fan and user (my username is jeffgo33) and may sometimes play on my personal account in the games that I offer advice on. Although I have expressed my personal view on the games and strategies above, they do not necessarily reflect the view(s) of DraftKings and I may also deploy different players and strategies than what I recommend above. I am not an employee of DraftKings and do not have access to any non-public information.