UPDATE: Damian Lillard (back) has been ruled out for tonight’s game vs. the Pelicans. C.J. McCollum ($7,800) is now one of the top cash options on the slate. Brandon Ingram (knee) and Frank Jackson (knee) are expected to play.
UPDATE: Carmelo Anthony is reportedly starting in his Trail Blazers debut tonight vs. the Pelicans.
There are a few spots that will open up value on tonight’s four-game slate on DraftKings, but the most notable is the New Orleans Pelicans lengthy injury report. Right now here’s how it shakes out:
Frank Jackson (neck; $3,800) — will play
Lonzo Ball (adductor; $5,400) — out
Brandon Ingram (knee; $7,200) — will play
Jahlil Okafor (ankle; $3,500) — out
Josh Hart (ankle; $5,000) — out
Derrick Favors (back; $6,600) — out
It’s a lot to digest, I know. Really we’re just waiting to see if Ingram and/or Ball sits, which would open up a path for a few players to become very viable. Other than that, we’ve only got two actual high-volume studs in LeBron James ($11,100) and Anthony Davis ($9,800) with the Los Angeles Lakers taking on the Oklahoma City Thunder.
So let’s get into some chalky plays to target for tonight’s NBA slate:
Anthony Davis, LAL vs. OKC, $9,800
Similar to last night with Luka Doncic and Russell Westbrook, this is just too low of a price for AD. The Thunder are a tough team to deal with down low, but this is Anthony Davis we’re talking about, he’s matchup proof. I think he’s had a couple of down games and maybe the injuries are getting to him, but as long as he plays and isn’t going to be hampered, I like him in cash games. OKC is on the second of a back-to-back and AD has one of the highest floors on the slate. It’s a bit risky, but I’m OK with it.
Jrue Holiday, NOP vs. POR, $8,800
As I mentioned above, if either Ingram and/or Ball sits, Holiday is an instant cash-game staple. His price is up over $1,000 since a few weeks ago and he’s dominating usage with the Pelicans dealing with so many injuries. Even if NOLA gets somewhat healthy, they don’t have much guard depth with Hart out, so Holiday will play big minutes anyway. He’s more of a GPP play if Ingram or Ball end up playing though, so keep that in mind.
Ja Morant, MEM vs. GSW, $6,700
I think this is the time to get in on the Ja Morant wave and ride it for a bit. You gotta ride that wave in. Prior to a tough matchup vs. the Denver Nuggets, Morant had posted back-to-back games of at least 42.75 DKFP. His usage is leading the way for the Memphis Grizzlies and, oh look, we’ve got the Golden State Warriors on the schedule tonight! Morant should thrive against the worst defensive team in the NBA. The best part, I think the Dubs have enough to keep it somewhat close, so I’m not worried about Memphis running away too early.
Alec Burks, GSW at MEM, $5,000
At this point, Burks is the last guard standing really for the Warriors. Unless you’d rather go with Ky Bowman for a discount at $4,700. But anyway, this is a good environment for Burks, who should get up a decent amount of shots tonight vs. the Grizz. His minutes and usage have been there, around 30 minutes per game and a usage rate hovering around 20% each game. He doesn’t need much to return value and I think this game is a sneaky good stack overall.