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Jacksonville is coming off of back-to-back losses inside of the division, and will look to right the ship in this third divisional matchup. The Jaguars are still just two games back of the division lead, though they will need to make up some ground quickly to have a shot at the playoffs. The defense has fallen a long way since 2017, but has still been effective against the pass, ranking 11th according to Football Outsiders DVOA. Playing the run has been a far different story, as the team ranks 30th. Offensively, the Jags rank 15th in pass DVOA despite starting a sixth round rookie under center for most of the season. One has to think they will be even more improved with Nick Foles back.
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The Titans are only a game back in what has become a remarkably competitive AFC South. Tennessee has been dangerous on offense since making a quarterback change to Ryan Tannehill.
With Tannehill: 55.9% pass success rate, 21.3% explosive pass rate, 8.8 yards per pass attempt
Without Tannehill: 40.6% pass success rate, 13.8% explosive pass rate, 7.7 yards per pass attempt
Since Tannehill became the starter in Week 7, the Titans are fourth in the NFL in yards per play. This to go along with a defense ranking 16th in DVOA, and fourth against the run.
All odds provided by DraftKings Sportsbook and all odds subject to change.
Jaguars at Titans
Betting Odds
Point Spread: Jaguars+3
Total Points: 41
Money Line: Titans -186; Jaguars +163
Records
Overall 2019: Jaguars 4-6; Titans 5-5
ATS 2019: Jaguars 5-5; Titans 4-5-1
O/U 2019: Jaguars 5-4-1; Titans 5-5
Injury Report
Jaguars - TE Seth DeValve (oblique) out
Titans - TE Delanie walker (ankle) doubtful, OL Kevin Pamphile (knee) doubtful
Notable Prop Bets
Jaguars Total Touchdowns - Over 1.5 -200, Under 1.5 +148
Titans Total Points - Over 22.5 -110, Under 22.5 -118
Total Yards of Shortest Touchdown - Over 1.5 -106, Under 1.5 -125
First Team to Score - Jaguars +106, Titans -143
Betting Trends
- The Titans have won seven of their last eight home games against the Jaguars.
- The Jaguars have failed to cover the spread in each of their last six games in November.
- Each of the Titans’ last seven day games against AFC South opponents have gone UNDER the total points line.
- D.J. Chark has scored at least one touchdown in five of the Jaguars’ last six games as underdogs.
- Derrick Henry has scored two touchdowns in each of the Titans’ last two games.
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Odds and lines subject to change. See website for details.