My entire weekend was spent typing out all the names of the Patriots’ injury report. Maybe that’s a slight exaggeration, but there are some key names we need to run through to have a firm grasp of what to expect from this game. Most notably, Tom Brady popped up on the injury report Friday afternoon with a wrist injury. Even though he’s listed as questionable, it’s hard for me to take Brady on the injury report seriously. He’s been on the Pats’ injury report many times over the last few years and it never amounts to anything serious. More likely than not, Brady will end up playing Sunday although there was enough concern that DK Sportsbook didn’t immediately list passing, receiving or rushing yard props for the Patriots’ skill players.
At wide receiver, Julian Edelman has been listed as questionable for almost every game this season. His injury doesn’t seem near as serious as the injuries to Mohamed Sanu and Phillip Dorsett. Both appear to be at high risk of sitting out. If one or both can’t play, it will be interesting to see what N’Keal Harry can do. The rookie was drafted in the first round and hasn’t gotten a ton of opportunity this season. This could be a spot that sets up well for a breakout with the Patriots’ receivers banged up.
Surprisingly, the Patriots have been winning games more with their defense than their offense this season. The offense has been fairly pedestrian while the defense is the top ranked unti by DVOA. This sets up a key matchup between the Pats’ passing defense and Dak Prescott. Seeking out a new contract, Prescott has done everything possible to prove he’s worthy of the big bucks. The Cowboys look like the team to beat with him at the helm and he’s leading the league in passing yards. It remains to be seen if he can keep it up against an elite defense like New England’s and this matchup will likely determine if Dallas can keep up with the Patriots.
All odds provided by DraftKings Sportsbook and all odds subject to change.
Patriots at Cowboys
Point Spread: Cowboys +6
Total Points: 44.5
Money Line: Cowboys +225; Patriots -265
Overall 2019: Cowboys 6-4; Patriots 9-1
ATS 2019: Cowboys 6-4; Patriots 7-3
O/U 2019: Cowboys 7-3; Patriots 3-7
- Ja’Whaun Bentley (LB) - Questionable
- Tom Brady (QB) - Questionable
- Marcus Cannon (OT) - Questionable
- Patrick Chung (S) - Questionable
- Phillip Dorsett (WR) - Questionable
- Nate Ebner (S) Questionable
- Julian Edelman (WR) - Questionable
- Damien Harris (RB) - Questionable
- Jason McCourty (CB) - Questionable
- Mohamed Sanu (WR) - Questionable
- John Simons (DE) - Questionable
- Matthew Slater (WR) - Questionable
- Joe Thomas (LB) - Questionable
- Leighton Vander Esch (LB) - Out
- Donovan Wilson (S) - Questionable
- Connor Williams (G) - Questionable
Notable Prop Bets
- Sony Michel to score a touchdown: -115
- Julian Edelman to score the first touchdown of the game: +850
- Ezekiel Elliott over 78.5 total rushing yards: -112
- Dak Prescott over 259.5 passing yards: -112
- The Patriots have won each of their last 20 games at Gillete Stadium.
- The Cowboys have covered the spread in six of their last eight games as underdogs.
- Six of the Cowboys’ last seven road games have gone OVER the total points line.
- Dak Prescott has scored a touchdown in four of the Cowboys’ last five games following a road win.
- Ezekiel Elliott has scored at least one touchdown in each of the Cowboys’ last four Sunday road games.
- Julian Edelman has scored at least one touchdown in four of the Patriots’ last five regular season Sunday home games
- Tom Brady has scored at least one touchdown in each of the Patriots’ last two regular season home games against NFC East opponents.
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Odds and lines subject to change. See website for details.