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Nick Foles looked far from perfect in his return from a clavicle injury in a lopsided loss to the Colts last week; however, there are a few reasons to be optimistic about the former Super Bowl champion as he heads into a Week 12 matchup with Tennessee. Foles completed 33 of his 47 attempts for 296 yards and a pair of touchdowns, but more enticing is the way the Titans have hemorrhaged points to opposing QBs throughout the past month. It may be unwise to expect the Jaguars to throw the ball on 84.5% of their offensive snaps for back-to-back games, yet Tennessee has proven you don’t necessarily need that type of volume to be productive against its somewhat underwhelming secondary.
Let’s just take a look at the recent returns we’ve seen for quarterbacks within this matchup. Going back to the beginning of Week 7, the Titans have conceded an average of 327.0 passing yards per game, with each opposing QB they’ve faced within that span of time also connecting for multiple touchdown passes. Additionally, for the entire season, Tennessee’s allowed a whopping 77.3% of opponent touchdowns to come through the air - a figure that tracks as the fourth-highest rate in all of football. This doesn’t seem to be a product of luck, either. With a rushing defense that ranks fourth in the NFL by DVOA and a passing defense that sits 22nd, the Titans are clearly a squad - much like Tampa Bay or Houston - that induces teams to throw rather than run in high-leverage situations.
Fantasy Football Analysis, Jacksonville Jaguars QB Nick Foles
This Sunday is a devastating week for quarterback byes. Aside from the obvious pain of missing Patrick Mahomes, there’s a more than fair chance that someone’s been rolling out Kyler Murray, Philip Rivers or Kirk Cousins as their regular starting QB for the majority of 2019. So, if you’re in need of an emergency add, Foles is a great fit, especially since his injury woes have likely kept him on the waiver wire all year long - maybe even in superflex formats. As for DFS, Foles’ $5,400 price tag is extremely enticing if you’re looking to pay down at the position.
Start/Sit Recommendation
Start.