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What Chris Godwin, Curtis Samuel performances tells us about Week 13 DFS WR salaries

The wide receiver position was loaded with some huge fantasy performance and some duds. Steve Buchanan looks into two of those performances ahead of Week 13.

Tampa Bay Buccaneers wide receiver Chris Godwin celebrates a catch in the second quarter against the Atlanta Falcons at Mercedes-Benz Stadium. Jason Getz-USA TODAY Sports

The wide receiver position had a few “can’t miss” names in Week 12. If you passed on Chris Godwin, Jarvis Landry or DJ Moore, you were likely looking up at the standings instead of looking down. Sure, we had a number of guys score in the high-20’s but those three in particle had 34.4 DKFP and above. Week 13 is a bit tricky at this position so let’s take a look at how things could shake out with DraftKings salaries.

Chris Godwin ($7,700) vs. Jaguars

It’s quite possible you fell for the wrong Buccaneers receiver in Week 12. It’s been extremely difficult to figure out which one to play on a week-to-week basis and quite honestly, it hasn’t been Godwin for quite some time now. In fact, prior to the Week 12 explosion, Godwin was averaging just 12.8 DKFP over his last four games. Evans? He’s been the go-to option with a 26.9 DKFP average. Well, I have some bad news for you, it wasn’t an Evan week. Instead, we saw Godwin go off with seven receptions for 184 yards and two touchdowns, good for 40.4 DKFP. Amazingly, this was his second-highest fantasy output of the season, as he couldn’t quite surpass the 44.2 DKFP game he had against the Rams in Week 4.

With the week he just had, it’s no surprise to see Godwin draw a salary of $7,700 ahead of the Bucs matchup against the Jaguars. It’s the highest salary he’s seen all season long and is a $500 increase from last week. While the matchup is great on paper against a Jaguars defense that’s allowed an average of 34.3 DKFP and 162 receiving yards per game. However, Godwin is going to draw CB D.J. Hayden in coverage, who has been targeted against 30 times allowing 20 receptions for an average of 9 YPR. It feels like a hefty price to pay for a dicey matchup and with Mike Evans ($6,900) still very much involved.

Curtis Samuel ($4,800) vs. Washington

It’s been a struggle for Samuel as of late but Week 12 was really the icing on the cake. It was his second-straight week scoring less than double-digit fantasy points, as he came away with 5.9 in a game against the Saints that featured 65 total points. Amazingly, he only drew four targets in which he made one reception for nine yards. The majority of his production came on the ground where he rushed the ball four times for 40 yards. It’s not out of the ordinary for Samuel to take a couple of carries, as he’s done so six times prior to Week 12. Still, it’s not enough to save his fantasy disappointments as of late.

Samuel dropped a significant $600 in salary ahead of the Panthers Week 13 clash against Washington. This is by far the best matchup he’s seen in a while and could provide the boost he so desperately needs. On paper, Samuel would be drawing CB Josh Norman in coverage but he was a healthy scratch from the lineup in Week 12. If he returns, Samuel can look forward to a corner who has been targeted against 45 times allowing 31 receptions for an average of 15.1 YPR and scored on seven (!) times. Samuel certainly comes with plenty of risks and only drawing four targets last week is concerning but this is by far his best matchup to date. Especially in tournament lineups, he’s worth a look.