It’s Thanksgiving week and I’m thankful that we’ve got 11 games on the slate for Monday night in the NBA. We took a bit of a break over the weekend, but had entered said weekend in good shape as far as picks are concerned. It’ll be tough to crack tonight’s 11 games considering two feature quality teams going up against each other, while most of the other games lack the playoff atmosphere. Anyway, let’s dive into the picks and then I’ll go through my thought process a bit.
Note: These picks were made reflective of the lines at 3:40 p.m. ET. I’ll update accordingly if things change.
Nets (+1) at Cavaliers
Pacers (-9.5) vs. Grizzlies
Magic (+4.5) at Pistons
Kings (+7) at Celtics
Raptors (+1.5) vs. 76ers
Heat (-11.5) vs. Hornets
Timberwolves (-3.5) at Hawks
Bucks (-7.5) vs. Jazz
Trail Blazers (+0.5) at Bulls
Lakers (-4.5) at Spurs
Thunder (-6) at Warriors
There are a lot of wacky lines tonight, right? The Pacers are expected to get point guard Malcolm Brogdon back from injury, so getting Indy at a single-digit spread against the Grizzlies at home seems obvious. I like the Nets and Magic as road teams getting points against weak opponents. Magic-Pistons should be low scoring and close. The Nets are playing better without Kyrie Irving and last I checked he’s still out.
I’m going to roll with the Kings on the road assuming Kemba Walker won’t play — he’s doubtful right now. I think Sactown can keep things close on the road while Boston adjusts to life without Kemba for now. I think taking the Raptors getting points at home is ideal. The Sixers are tough, but that game could be a last-possession type of scenario, so gimme points.
How on God’s Green Earth are the Lakers only favored by that much on the road vs. the Spurs? Is there something we don’t know that the books do? Anthony Davis is probable and there’s no anticipation LeBron James will rest, so what gives here? San Antonio just got off a long losing streak. The Spurs aren’t very good anymore. I’m also using this sort of thinking for the Thunder on the road vs. the Warriors. Sure, Draymond Green will maybe come back tonight, but I don’t think that changes much. OKC plays defense and the Warriors don’t.
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Odds and lines subject to change. See website for details.