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Final score update: The Ravens edged out the 49ers 20-17 on a last second Justin Tucker field goal. The game came in under the 45.5 point total, and the 49ers covered a spread that ranged from 4.5 to six points.
This is one of the best matchups of the entire season, pitting the 10-1 Niners against the 9-2 Ravens. Baltimore is the top team in the NFL in point differential, while San Francisco sits at third. This game certainly profiles as a Super Bowl preview. The Niners are ranked second in defense by Football Outsiders DVOA, but it is worth noting that they are just 16th against the run. Lamar Jackson and the Ravens have rushed for 2,316 yards on the year, over 700 more than the next-closest team (ironically, the Niners). Baltimore also leads the league in yards per carry by 0.7 yards. With the Ravens also rating low in rush DVOA (just 24th), a good bit of this game should be decided on the ground.
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Through the air, both teams are far better defensively, with the 49ers and Ravens rating second and third respectively in pass DVOA. This should not be an aerial assault. The game will also play out fairly slowly if the teams play to form. Each of these teams is 26th or worse in total pace of play according to Football Outsiders. From a playoff perspective, the Ravens will all but lock up a first round bye if they win, while the Niners could find themselves not only at risk to lose a bye, but lose the division with a loss.
All odds provided by DraftKings Sportsbook and all odds subject to change.
49ers at Ravens
Betting Odds
Point Spread: 49ers +6
Total Points: 45.5
Money Line: Ravens -265; 49ers +225
Records
Overall 2019: 49ers 10-1; Ravens 9-2
ATS 2019: 49ers 7-4; Ravens 6-4-1
O/U 2019: 49ers 5-6; Ravens 7-4
Injury Report
49ers: LB Dee Ford (quad/hamstring) out, WR Dante Pettis (knee) out, OL Joe Staley (finger) questionable, RB Matt Breida (ankle) questionable
Ravens: TE Nick Boyle (ankle) questionable, G Bradley Bozeman (ankle) questionable, DL Michael Pierce (ankle) questionable, WR Miles Boykin (ankle) questionable
Notable Prop Bets
49ers Total Touchdowns - Over 2.5 +148, Under 2.5 -200
Ravens Total Points - Over 25.5 -117, Under 25.5 -110
First to 25 Points - 49ers +335, Ravens +100, Tie +155
First Team to Score - 49ers +120, Ravens -165
Betting Trends
- The Ravens have won each of their last seven games.
- The underdogs have covered the spread in seven of the Ravens’ last eight games at M&T Bank Stadium.
- Six of the 49ers’ last seven road games against AFC opponents have gone OVER the total points line.
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Odds and lines subject to change. See website for details.