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Point spread, total, moneyline and more for Bills-Cowboys on Thanksgiving in Week 13

An explosive offense meets a stout defense. Can Zeke and the Boys burst through the Bills? We break down notable odds, including the point spread, trends, and ATS history.

Dallas Cowboys head coach Jason Garrett celebrates with receiver Amari Cooper after his third quarter touchdown and with running back Ezekiel Elliott against the Minnesota Vikings at AT&T Stadium. Matthew Emmons-USA TODAY Sports

I’ve long debated over when the appropriate time is to start the Thanksgiving feast. In my eyes, it has to be in the early afternoon, that way you can keep going back for more as the night rolls on, while still having room for dessert. Regardless of the time zone, if you go by my rules, you’ll likely be eating at some point during the second game of the day. The Buffalo Bills visit the Dallas Cowboys for a game that has plenty of playoff implications. The Cowboys will want to get their first win against a team that currently holds a winning record this season under their belt.

We have a predicament, though. Dallas leads the league in total offense. Buffalo ranks third in defense. As we saw last week, the Cowboys offense struggled when they matched up against a top defense in the Patriots. Of course, the weather was a factor in that one, and it won’t be in this one. While Amari Cooper (DFS salary $6,000) has been quiet the past two weeks, whether due to injury or matchup, we know Dak Prescott ($5,700) has the tendency to lock on to him at home. Cooper’s gone for 88 yards or more in all five home games, averaging a touchdown in each.

As a counter argument, the Bills will have Tre’Davious White following Cooper, which may shift the offense to flow through Ezekiel Elliott ($7,400). While it feels like the star running back hasn’t done as much this season, he’s still in the top ten of just about every category. Speaking of running backs, Buffalo’s duo is coming off a combined 244-yard performance. Devin Singletary ($5,800) logged his first career 100-yard rushing game while Frank Gore ($3,900) became the third all-time leading rusher. The Cowboys have allowed 100+ yards on the ground in their last five games, so we could see a battle on the ground.

I spoke on this earlier in the week, but a 6.5-point spread is far too wide for my liking. The Bills have only lost by seven or more once this season. While that was against the Eagles, another NFC East team, I don’t see that happening again this week. I’ll take the Bills to cover.

All odds provided by DraftKings Sportsbook and all odds subject to change.

Bills at Cowboys

Betting Odds

Point Spread: Bills +6.5
Total Points: 47
Money Line: Bills +235; Cowboys -278

Records

Overall: Bills 8-3; Cowboys 6-5
ATS: Bills 7-3-1; Cowboys 7-4
O/U: Bills 3-8; Cowboys 7-4

Injury Report

Bills:

  • Ty Nsekhe (T) - OUT
  • Robert Foster (WR) - Questionable
  • Mitch Morse (C) - Questionable

Cowboys:

  • Leighton Vander Esch (LB) - OUT
  • Antwaun Woods (DT) - OUT
  • Jeff Heath (S) - Questionable

Notable Prop Bets

Bills:

  • Devin Singletary over 59.5 rushing yards: -112
  • Cole Beasley to score a TD (revenge game): +260

Cowboys:

  • Ezekiel Elliott over 2.5 receptions: +100
  • Amari Cooper to have more receiving yards than John Brown: -110

Betting Trends

  • The Cowboys have won five of their last six Thursday games.
  • The Cowboys have covered the spread in four of their last five games.
  • Each of the Bills’ last six games as underdogs have gone UNDER the total points line.
  • The Bills have lost the first quarter in each of their last seven games following a home win.
  • Amari Cooper has scored at least one touchdown in four of the Cowboys’ last five home games.
  • Josh Allen has scored at least one touchdown in three of the Bills’ last four games.
  • Ezekiel Elliott has scored at least one touchdown in each of the Cowboys’ last five games following a loss.
  • Dak Prescott has scored a touchdown in four of the Cowboys’ last five games as favorites against AFC opponents.

Odds and lines subject to change. See website for actual odds.
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