Despite completing fewer than 50 percent of his passes last week in Philadelphia, Josh Allen managed to once again keep from putting up a complete dud, as he threw for two touchdowns and rushed for 45 yards. The flip side of that is he also managed to not put up substantial numbers against a poor Eagles pass defense. Not reaching his ceiling has been Allen’s M.O. this season, but he’s also put up good enough stats to give him a high enough floor to still have hope that he can put up more significant numbers.
That hope remains, as Allen takes on a Washington pass defense that can give up big points to opposing quarterbacks.
Fantasy Football Analysis, Buffalo Bills QB Josh Allen
Washington’s defense ranks 24th in pass defense DVOA but has limited quarterbacks over the last three weeks, helping them to rank 15th in fantasy points allowed to quarterbacks. There are a few extenuating circumstances that have improved their pass defense stats. Last week Kirk Cousins completed an amazing 23-of-26 passes for 285 yards and no touchdowns with Adam Thielen out and Dalvin Cook running well. In Week 7, the 49ers came to town and played in a muddy mess, and in Week 6, the Dolphins started Josh Rosen and then brought in Ryan Fitzpatrick, who played well enough to win. These last three games are why they aren’t near the bottom in passing stats allowed, especially when you consider that early in the season, they allowed three touchdown passes each to Carson Wentz, Dak Prescott, Mitchell Trubisky and Tom Brady.
Allen isn’t a quarterback we can trust but with Drew Brees, Matt Ryan, Jared Goff, and Bengals Q.B., all on byes, there’s a good chance he’s going to be startable in most 12-team leagues in this matchup.
Allen’s rushing ability, as always, helps keep him from tanking, and Washington has given up 69 rushing yards to Dak Prescott, 33 to Daniel Jones, and 20 to Jimmy Garoppolo. Allen shouldn’t have much trouble putting up his average of thirty rushing yards and could find the end zone, as he has three rushing touchdowns but hasn’t scored in his last three games.
Traditional Fantasy Start/Sit Recommendation
DraftKings DFS Recommendation
Allen costs $6,500 on DraftKings, ranking as the eight-most expensive quarterback of the week. Due to his inconsistencies this season, I can’t recommend him in cash lineups at that price. But he is always an excellent GPP play, as his upside is high when he can get a rushing touchdown and tack on a couple passing touchdowns, which is very much a possibility this week.