The goal of this article will be to examine betting angles for this week’s NFL matchups. So not only will we identify potential spots to target, but also spots that could be traps, or just to stay away from all together. Here are some plays on at DraftKings Sportsbook that standout in Week 9:
Spot Worth Targeting: Cleveland Browns at Denver Broncos
I understand that the Browns are tough to back right now, but there’s a reason this one’s already moved a full point since the line re-opened. The Broncos will be without Joe Flacco (neck), and with Drew Lock (thumb) still unable to go, that means Brandon Allen is the starter in the meantime. Allen’s never taken a snap for the Broncos, and spent his preseason with the Rams — tossing three interceptions and zero touchdowns. Cleveland’s defense has also taken a step forward, getting healthy in the secondary. Overcoming those three early turnovers to allow 27 points in New England last week is actually pretty impressive. A big game from the defense and Nick Chubb should carry the Browns to an easy victory.
The play: CLE -4
Trap Spot: New England Patriots at Baltimore Ravens
Sharp money isn’t always the right money. This line continues to get pounded, moving the home team down to a three-point dog. The Ravens are a very good team, but I think they’re getting too much respect in this spot. Baltimore is off a bye following a big win in Seattle. Its stock couldn’t be higher. Meanwhile, the undefeated Patriots just keep beating everyone’s brains in, listing to the narrative that they haven’t played anyone good. Now they play someone good, and have the chance to show that they can continue dominating. Look for the Pats to really limit Lamar Jackson on the ground and get the win.
The trap: BAL +3
Potential play: NE -3
Stay Away Spot: Tampa Bay Buccaneers at Seattle Seahawks
At the start of the week, I really wanted to play SEA -6.5. Now it’s at -5.5, and I’m continuing to resist. Jameis Winston is just so turnover prone, and will play in a tough road environment here, but at the same time, this isn’t the Seattle defense we’ve been accustomed to. The Seahawks haven’t covered a spread in their last five games at home, and the Bucs have been decent ATS on the road this season. Tampa has only lost by more than 5.5 points away from home once, back in New Orleans in early October. While I’m confident the Seahawks make it out of this one with the win, I’m just not confident enough to play the spread on either side.
Stay away: Both sides
Potential play: Live action
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