Don’t look now, but the Browns are coming in hot over the past month, winning three straight contests. The Steelers won last weekend, and currently occupy the final playoff spot in the AFC at 6-5, just one game ahead of Cleveland. This is a tremendous moving opportunity for both teams as it pertains to the AFC playoff race.
The Browns got off to a shaky start to the year, but have been excellent over the past three weeks, ranking top 12 in both yards per play and defensive yards per play allowed. On the year, they have the 18th ranked offense and 13th ranked defense by Football Outsiders DVOA. Things definitely aren’t as great as they were predicted for this team coming into the year, but the team is still talented enough to make some noise down the stretch. Quarterback Baker Mayfield has thrown just one interception, and been sacked only six times in his past four games.
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Pittsburgh has been one of the best defensive units in football, and it is what has propelled their success. By DVOA, they are the third-best defense in the NFL, and they have the second-best pressure rate in the league. They are also top five in adjusted net yards per pass attempt defense. Offensively is a bit of a different story. Whether it has been Mason Rudolph or Devin Hodges, the team has struggled to maintain a consistent rythm. They will need to run the ball effectively, and make some chunk plays in the passing game in order to score points. Of course, it helps when the defense can provide some short fields as well.
All odds provided by DraftKings Sportsbook and all odds subject to change.
Browns at Steelers
Point Spread: Steelers +2
Total Points: 39
Money Line: Steelers +110; Browns -125
Overall 2019: Browns 5-6; Steelers 6-5
ATS 2019: Browns 4-6-1; Steelers 5-4-2
O/U 2019: Browns 5-6; Steelers 3-8
Browns: OL Greg Robinson (concussion) questionable, DL Olivier Vernon (knee) questionable
Steelers: JuJu Smith-Schuster (knee) out, RB James Conner (shoulder) doubtful
Notable Prop Bets
Browns Total Touchdowns - Over 2.5 +165, Under 2.5 -210
Steelers Total Points - Over 18.5 -120, Under 18.5 -109
Total Yards of Shortest Touchdown - Over 1.5 -115, Under 1.5 -115
Total Game Field Goals - Over 3.5 +102, Under 3.5 -136
- The Steelers have won each of their last eight December home games against AFC North opponents.
- The Browns have failed to cover the spread in four of their last five Sunday games.
- Five of the Steelers’ last six games have gone UNDER the total points line.
- Jarvis Landry has scored the first touchdown in each of the Browns’ last two Sunday games.
- Jarvis Landry has scored at least one touchdown in each of the Browns’ last four games.
- James Washington has scored a touchdown in each of the Steelers’ last two day games.
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Odds and lines subject to change. See website for details.