The AFC South remains completely up for grabs. The Texans maintain a one-game lead over the Titans and the Colts, but they play the Patriots Sunday evening. It’s entirely possible, therefore, that the winner of Sunday’s Titans-Colts matchup will finish the weekend tied for the divisional lead. Both teams are already in a four-team tie in the race for the for the final Wild Card spot, both currently trailing the Steelers and Raiders due to tiebreakers.

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Colts’ QB Jacoby Brissett started the season strong, but he’s been in a massive slump that started in Week 8. After averaging 231 passing yards, 2.3 TDs and 25.1 DKFP through his first six games, Brissett has put up just 160 yards, 0.3 TDs and 13.3 DKFP over his last three full games. Furthermore, his worst game of the slump was in Week 12 against the Texans, who have easily the worst passing defense of the three. Granted, that game was a rematch of Week 7, but it is still concerning. A primary cause of his slump is likely the ailing health of No. 1 WR T.Y. Hilton (calf), who missed two of those games and was limited in the third. Hilton suffered another setback on Wednesday and is out for Week 13. The Titans are another tough matchup – and another rematch – so Brissett’s struggles are likely to last another week.

The Titans, on the other hand, have a new lease on life ever since Ryan Tannehill took over for Marcus Mariota in the second half of Week 6. After starting the season 2-4, Tannehill has led them on a 4-1 run. After averaging just 11.0 points per game from Week 2 to Week 6, the Titans have averaged 29.4 since Tannehill took over as starter. Their schedule has been on the easy side during that stretch, but the complete turnaround is still praiseworthy. The Colts’ defense has been pretty close to league-average, but they are the second-toughest Tannehill will have faced, according to DVOA.

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Titans at Colts

Betting Odds

Point Spread: Titans +2
Total Points: 43
Money Line: Colts -121; Titans +106

Records

Overall: Titans 6-5; Colts 6-5
ATS: Titans 5-5-1; Colts 6-4-1
O/U: Titans 6-5; Colts 6-5

Key Injuries

• Colts’ RB Marlon Mack (hand) is out.
• Colts’ WR T.Y. Hilton (calf) is out.
• Colts’ WR Parris Campbell (hand) is questionable after being limited in practice all week.
• Colts’ TE Mo Allie-Cox (thumb) is questionable. He missed Wednesday’s and Thursday’s practice, but was a full participant on Friday.
• Titans’ RB Derrick Henry (hamstring) will play. He was limited on Wednesday and Thursday, but practiced in full on Friday.
• Titans’ WR Tajae Sharpe (hamstring) will play. He was limited on Wednesday, but practiced in full on Thursday and Friday

Notable Prop Bets

Titans:

Parlay Titans money line and over +290; Derrick Henry to score and Titans to win +190; Ryan Tannehill to throw over 224.5 total passing yards +100

Colts:

Jonathan Williams to rush for over 69.5 rushing yards; Jack Doyle to catch over 3.5 receptions +115 and over 31.5 yards -112

Betting Trends

• The Colts have won seven of their last eight day games against AFC South opponents.
• The Colts have covered the spread in seven of their last eight home games against the Titans. Each of the Titans last five games have gone over the total points line.
• The Colts have won the first quarter in 10 of their last 11 Sunday games against the Titans.
• Jacoby Brissett has scored a touchdown in each of the Colts’ last two games.
• Ryan Tannehill has scored at least one touchdown in two of the Titans’ last three games.
• Derrick Henry has scored two touchdowns in each of the Titans’ last three games.

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