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Raiders stun Chargers in final minute to claim key victory

Rivers vs. Carr on Thursday Night Football. We can smell a shootout cooking. We break down notable odds, including the point spread, trends, and ATS history.

Oakland Raiders quarterback Derek Carr celebrates after the game against the Detroit Lions at Oakland Coliseum. Kyle Terada-USA TODAY Sports

Chargers-Raiders final score

We had a wild one to open up Week 10! The Oakland Raiders stunned the Los Angeles Chargers in the closing minutes, with running back Josh Jacobs breaking a couple tackles to scamper 18 yards for the go-ahead score. Daniel Carlson missed the extra point on the score, but the Raiders defense locked down in the final minute to secure the 26-24 victory.

This was a wild one for sports bettors. The point total, point spread, and money line all came down to the wire. The point total was anywhere from 48 to 49 points depending on when you bought in. The point spread was one or 1.5 points. And the Chargers were the slimmest of money line favorites. Jacobs’ late touchdown secured the modest outright upset and pushed this game over.

The Raiders improve to 5-4 with the win, while the Chargers drop to 4-6. The Raiders are a game back of the Kansas City Chiefs in the AFC West and a half game back of the Indianapolis Colts for the second wild card spot.

Chargers-Raiders betting update

The betting public is backing the Chargers in a big way at DraftKings Sportsbook. 69 percent of the point spread handle and 68 percent of point spread tickets bet are on the Chargers, who now sit at -1.5 favorites. People expect a high scoring affair, with 66 percent of handle and 52 percent of tickets bet on the over for the 48 point total.

The most popular player prop bet of the day belongs to Josh Jacobs as the first touchdown scorer. You can get +600 odds on a running back with a pair of two-touchdown performances over the Raiders’ past four games. Desmond King under 0.5 sacks (-560) is second in handle, while Melvin Gordon as first touchdown scorer (+700) is second in tickets bet.


Through half of the season, Thursday Night Football has been a mixture of close games and blowouts. While the score lines suggest they are better games than Monday Night Football, there are plenty of critics who feel TNF is a worse product due to the short week. In any case, the show must go on. This week, the Chargers head to Oakland with a two-game winning streak for a divisional battle with the Raiders. Both teams are coming off of wins against NFC North opponents, and both are looking to claw their way into the playoff picture.

The last time the Chargers and Raiders met on Thursday night was on Christmas Eve of 2015. That one also took place in Oakland, and the Raiders gave their fans an overtime victory as a gift. Though recent history has been more generous to the Chargers, winning the last four meetings against their AFC West rivals. This time around, it’s shaping up to be a close one (Raiders +1) that could shoot out (O/U 49 points, third-highest of the week).

The Raiders have posted strong stats against the run this season, but that’s because it’s so easy to pass on them. They’ve allowed the most passing yards per game by any team, which is exactly what Philip Rivers (DraftKings Showdown salary $10,000) wants to hear. After firing its offensive coordinator, Los Angeles has emphasized the run game, posting 159 yards and two scores on the ground last week. Though, they’re still lethal in the air, averaging the sixth-most passing yards in the league.

While Oakland’s offense has been impressive as of late, scoring at least 24 points in its last five games, LA’s defense was able to contain Aaron Rodgers to 161 yards and a single touchdown. Derek Carr ($9,600) leads the league in completion percentage and rookie Josh Jacobs ($9,400) is one of six RBs to average over 90 yards per game, so this defense will be tasked with another tough assignment. The Raiders are 3-1 at home this season, with its sole loss coming in Week 2 against the Chiefs. I’ll take Oakland on the money line (+100).

All odds provided by DraftKings Sportsbook and all odds subject to change.

Chargers at Raiders

Betting Odds

Point Spread: Raiders +1
Total Points: 49
Money Line: Chargers -114; Raiders +100

Records

Overall: Chargers 4-5; Raiders 4-4
ATS: Chargers 3-4-2; Raiders 5-3
O/U: Chargers 2-7; Raiders 5-3

Injury Report

Chargers:

  • Cortez Broughton (DT) - OUT
  • Justin Jones (DT) - OUT
  • Geremy Davis (WR) - Doubtful
  • Justin Jackson (RB) - Doubtful
  • Roderic Teamer (S) - Doubtful
  • Denzel Perryman (LB) - Questionable
  • Sam Tevi (T) - Questionable
  • Brandon Mebane (NT) - Questionable

Raiders:

  • Arden Key (DE) - OUT
  • Josh Mauro (DE) - OUT
  • Trent Brown (T) - Questionable
  • Dwayne Harris (WR/RS) - Questionable

Notable Prop Bets

Chargers:

  • Austin Ekeler under 22.5 rushing yards: -112
  • Philip Rivers over 23.5 completions: -106

Raiders:

  • Tyrell Williams to score a TD: +200
  • Derek Carr to have more TD passes than Philip Rivers: +121

Betting Trends

  • The Chargers have won each of their last four games against the Raiders.
  • The Chargers have covered the spread in each of their last eight road games in November.
  • Each of the last seven games between AFC West teams have gone UNDER the total points line.
  • The Chargers have lost the first quarter in each of their last six night games.
  • Melvin Gordon III has scored the first touchdown in each of the Chargers’ last three games.
  • Austin Ekeler has scored the last touchdown in each of the Chargers’ last three road games.
  • Tyrell Williams has scored a touchdown in each of the Raiders’ last four games against AFC opponents.

Odds and lines subject to change. See website for actual odds.
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