Lions-Bears point spread update
Lions QB Matthew Stafford is expected to be ruled out for Week 10. The Bears were sitting as a 2.5-point favorite, but the line is widening to 6.5 or seven at various sportsbooks.
We’re starting to reach the point in the season where playoff implications don’t matter in some matchups. This, my friends, is one of those games. Yes, mathematically it’s possible that the Lions or Bears reach the postseason, but that would require the Packers and Vikings to significantly crumble. At this point in the season, though, no one has given up completely (aside from those in the #TankForTua race). With this being a division rivalry that spans nearly 90 years, both teams will have pride to play for, at the very least.
In the first four games of the season, Chicago’s defense had allowed 11.25 points per game. Over the previous four, it has more than doubled that average to 24.75 PPG. That would be fine if the offense was keeping pace, but it has been stagnant all season long. The Bears have the fourth-fewest offensive yards per game, only beating Miami, Washington and the Jets. Yet, they continue to roll with Mitch Trubisky (DFS salary $5,100) as their quarterback. Many of us thought he could get back on track last week against Philly’s pass funnel defense. Zero touchdowns and 125 passing yards later, boy were we wrong. Once again, Trubisky is in an ideal spot to throw the ball as the Lions have allowed the second-most passing yards per game. If he fails in this matchup, we may see Chase Daniels ($4,600) step in.
As for Detroit, we know Matt Stafford ($6,400) will want to get the ball to his top two receivers. Kenny Golladay ($7,000) and Marvin Jones Jr. ($6,200) have combined for 1,175 receiving yards. As a WR duo, they’re tied with Mike Evans ($7,600) and Chris Godwin ($7,400) with 13 receiving TDs for the most in the league. If the Lions are going to get their first division win of the season, they’ll need to utilize those two weapons in the best way.
There have been times this season when I’ve thought very highly of the Lions, and there are also times when I haven’t. This week, I’m leaning towards the former. It’s hard to go completely against the home team, so I’m going with Detroit to cover the spread.
All odds provided by DraftKings Sportsbook and all odds subject to change.
Lions at Bears
Point Spread: Lions +2.5
Total Points: 41.5
Money Line: Lions +125; Bears -143
Overall: Lions 3-4-1; Bears 3-5
ATS: Lions 4-4; Bears 2-6
O/U: Lions 6-2; Bears 3-5
- Tracy Walker (S) - OUT
- Da’Shawn Hand (DL) - OUT
- Miles Killebrew (S) - OUT
- Sam Martin (P) - Questionable
- Damon Harrison Sr. (DT) - Questionable
- Romeo Okwara (DE) - Questionable
- Joe Dahl (G) - Questionable
- Graham Glasgow (G/C) - Questionable
- Mike Daniels (DT) - Questionable
- A’Shawn Robinson (DT) - Questionable
- Matthew Stafford (QB) - Questionable
- Isaiah Irving (LB) - OUT
- Eddie Goldman (NT) - Questionable
Notable Prop Bets
- Kenny Golladay to score a TD: +150
- Marvin Jones Jr. to score a TD: +150
- Allen Robinson II over 64.5 receiving yards: +105
- Tarik Cohen to score a TD: +210
- The favorites have won 21 of the last 22 games between the Lions and Bears.
- The Bears have covered the spread in seven of their last eight games against NFC North opponents.
- Ten of the last 11 games between NFC North teams have gone UNDER the total points line.
- Tarik Cohen has scored a touchdown in four of the Bears’ last five games against NFC North opponents.
- David Montgomery has scored at least one touchdown in three of the Bears’ last four games.
- Kenny Golladay has scored at least one touchdown in three of the Lions’ last four day games.
Odds and lines subject to change. See website for actual odds.
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