I’m not going to flat-out lie and suggest there isn’t reason to consider a Washington running back in Week 13, but, unfortunately, matchup can only take a player so far. Still, with that said, this is quite a matchup. The Panthers have been consistently harassed by opposing RBs so far in 2019. Carolina comes into action this Sunday in possession of the league’s second-worst run defense according to DVOA, a byproduct of the team being one of just three squads currently conceding more than 5.0 yards per rushing attempt. If that weren’t enough, the Panthers have allowed an NFL-high 19 touchdowns on the ground through 11 games, which is figure that doesn’t even take into account the three receiving scores Carolina’s also given up to running backs.
However, the Redskins’ backfield is a mess. Since the return of Derrius Guice in Week 11, the opportunities have been pretty evenly spread out amongst the entire depth chart. Adrian Peterson has led the way with 19 carries, but the sophomore is right behind the veteran with 17 of his own. On top of that, it’s actually been Wendell Smallwood who’s seen the field most often in this two-contest stretch, playing 47 of Washington’s offensive snaps in a situation that’s clearly devolved into more than a two-man committee. This isn’t a system that can sustain three fantasy assets. Heck, it really hasn’t been able to prop up one. The Redskins have run the fewest plays per game of any team in football (53.5) and they’ve only scored a pair rushing touchdowns - the lowest total in the NFL. There’s simply not enough volume here.
Fantasy Football Analysis, Washington Redskins RBs Adrian Peterson and Derrius Guice
Despite an appealing opponent, you’re going to want to avoid anything to do with this backfield in Week 13. If you’re desperate, Guice is the play over Peterson; however, with Chris Thompson also expected back this weekend from a prolonged toe injury, the hierarchy in Bill Callahan’s system is anyone’s guess. Washington owning the slate’s lowest implied team total isn’t all that inviting, either.
Sit Peterson. Sit Guice.