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Best lineup strategy for Jets-Ravens in TNF Showdown

Baltimore can lock up the AFC North with a win over New York on Thursday Night Football. We break down how to approach the DraftKings Showdown contest.

Man, they really want to send the Thursday Night Football series out with a bang, don’t they? We’ve got a HUGE (not so huge) matchup on TNF between the Baltimore Ravens and New York Jets, two teams on very different trajectories.

Granted the Jets have played better recently, the Ravens can clinch the AFC North with a win to move to 12-2 on the season. They’d also keep pace for the No. 1 overall seed in the AFC ahead of the New England Patriots.

But enough about that, let’s take a look at the featured Showdown contest on DraftKings and how to approach lineup construction.

Captain Obvious

Lamar Jackson ($20,700)

This is an absolutely insane price on someone in the Captain’s spot, but really it shouldn’t surprise us, right? It’s Lamar. Jackson could easily torch the Jets defense for 200 rushing yards and throw for four TDs, so like Cady Heron once said, “the limit does not exist!”

Jackson is dealing with a quad injury, but it’s not considered serious, but something to note. He’s got at least 20 DKFP in eight straight games, plus double-digit carries in six of those contests. His red zone passing stats are stupid the past five weeks: Jackson is 22-for-28 with 14 TDs within the 20-yard line. It may be difficult to find the proper value to fit him in at Captain, but knowing what we know, you may have to force it.

Captain Courageous

Le’Veon Bell ($14,100)

The Ravens have a strong rush defense, but if you’re looking for leverage, Bell should be 100% for this game. He missed Week 14 with an illness and sat out vs. the Miami Dolphins. I think Bell should be heavily used before the end of the season as the Jets look to finish strong. Plus, Lev should see plenty of targets in the passing game with New York looking to limit pressure on QB Sam Darnold. If Bell is ruled out again, however, Bilal Powell ($4,800) would be the play, though he’s banged up too. If both RBs are out, Ty Montgomery ($4,500) would be a mortal lock for your lineup.

Flex Men

Robby Anderson ($9,000)

I think the Darnold-Anderson stack will go overlooked for obvious reasons in this contest. Baltimore’s defense is strong, particularly at home, and the Ravens have a lot on the line in this game. Still, Anderson has posted back-to-back 100-yard games and we can almost guarantee the Jets will be trailing most of this game. Darnold will have to throw them out of a hole and Anderson has the ability to break a long play at any time.

Ravens D/ST ($5,800)

I generally tend to lean on D/ST in Showdown contests, especially a game like this one, that could be very lopsided. The Ravens D/ST have posted at least 7.0 fantasy points in seven straight games, so we have a good floor to work with. Baltimore hasn’t allowed more than 20 points in eight straight and they’ve faced much more talented offenses (Texans, 49ers, Rams, Seahawks, Patriots). Darnold has been sacked close to 3.0 times per game, so with how well the Ravens pass rush is playing, a ceiling of around 5-6 sacks is there. Plus, we know what the ceiling is if Baltimore gets a few takeaways and scores a defensive TD.