clock menu more-arrow no yes

Filed under:

Point spread, total, money line, injury report and more for Broncos-Chiefs in Week 15

The Chiefs and Broncos square off for the second time this season. The last time saw Patrick Mahomes dislocate his kneecap. We break down the key odds, betting trends, ATS history, and more for the Week 15 matchup.

Patrick Mahomes of the Kansas City Chiefs runs the offense against the Denver Broncos in the second quarter of a game at Empower Field at Mile High on October 17, 2019 in Denver, Colorado. Photo by Dustin Bradford/Getty Images

The Broncos are coming off a shocking win over the Texans but are huge underdogs to the Chiefs. They’re a solid 7-3 against the spread as underdogs and 4-2 as road dogs. As for the Chiefs, they’re 6-4 as favorites but only 2-2 as home favorites against the spread.

Drew Lock is finally making John Elway look as if he can draft a quarterback, although we’re not going crazy with a two-game sample. Nonetheless, Lock just threw for 309 yards and three touchdowns agains the Texans in their last win. This will be a much tougher matchup as the Chiefs are allowing an average of 246 passing yards to opposing quarterbacks. Their secondary has been one of the best in the league and they’re in the same company as yardage and touchdowns allowed as the Patriots and 49ers. Courtland Sutton and Noah Fant have quickly emerged as the favorite targets for Lock but Fant is currently dealing with a hip injury, making him questionable to play. Phillip Lindsay could have a big day ahead against the worst run defense in the league, who allow an average of 116 rushing yards and 4.9 YPC per game.

We’ll have to watch the status of Patrick Mahomes throughout the week, as he’s currently dealing with a bruised hand. It likely won’t knock him out of this game but he certainly hasn’t played to his full potential this season, averaging just 213 passing yards and three touchdowns thrown over the last three weeks. The Broncos have been a tough defense to crack and could hinder Mahomes more than usual. With the Chiefs backfield still in a bit of disarray, this could be a perfect time for Travis Kelce to step up. The Broncos haven’t really been tested against teams who use the tight end heavily but he did have six catches for 44 yards in their prior matchup. Tyreek Hill was only held two three catches in that game but scored a touchdown and averaged a massive 24.6 YPR.

All odds provided by DraftKings Sportsbook

Betting Odds

Point Spread: Chiefs -10.5
Total Points: 45.5
Money Line: Broncos +380; Chiefs -500

Records

Overall 2019: Broncos 5-8; Chiefs 9-4
ATS 2019: Broncos 8-5; Chiefs 8-5
O/U 2019: Broncos 6-7; Chiefs 7-6

Injury Report

Broncos

  • Out: DE Adam Gotsis (knee), T Ja’Wuan James (knee), G Ronald Leary (concussion), DE DeMarcus Walker (ankle), WR Juwann Winfree (hamstring)
  • Questionable: TE Noah Fant (hip, foot), DE Dre’Mont Jones (ankle), LB Joseph Jones (back)

Chiefs

  • Out: CB Morris Claiborne (shoulder), CB Rashad Fenton (hamstring)
  • Questionable: DE Frank Clark (illness, shoulder), RB Damien Williams (rib, illness)

Notable prop bets

Broncos

  • Total Touchdowns - Over 1.5 -117, Under 1.5 -113
  • Phillip Lindsay Receiving Yards - Over 11.5 -112, Under 11.5 -112

Chiefs

  • Total Points - Over 27.5 -106, Under 27.5 -122
  • Travis Kelce to Score +110

Betting Trends

  • The Chiefs have won each of their last 20 day games against AFC West opponents.
  • The Broncos have covered the spread in seven of their last eight Sunday games.
  • Eight of the Broncos’ last nine road games against AFC opponents have gone UNDER the total points line.

Gambling problem? Call 1-800-GAMBLER (NJ) or 1-800-9-WITH-IT (IN)
21+. NJ/PA/IN Only. Eligibility restrictions apply.
Odds and lines subject to change. See website for details.