Incredibly, there are only three weeks left in the NFL regular season, and this is really the last “normal” full slate, as there will be three Saturday games in Week 16 and despite a potential for 16 games in Week 17, teams will be resting players, like Lamar Jackson. So let’s make the most of this Sunday and go position-by-position to break down the targets.
Deshaun Watson ($6,800) at TEN – Watson has been on a roll, lighting up the vaunted Patriots defense in Week 13 and topping 30 DK points in a surprising Week 14 loss to Denver. This week, Watson might get oft-injured big-play threat Will Fuller back, which only lifts Watson’s ceiling in a game with legit shootout potential.
Ryan Tannehill ($6,500) vs. HOU – Tannehill might be the No. 2 fantasy QB story of the season, behind the incomparable Lamar Jackson. Tannehill is pretty effective as a runner, too, and it’s helped lift Tannehill to two plus-30 DK point performances over his past three games. The Texans defense has been a goldmine for opposing passing games all season, and that should continue in this critical AFC South matchup.
Eli Manning ($5,200) vs. MIA – If Daniel Jones is able to return to the lineup in the next two weeks, then this is almost certainly Manning’s final home game under center for Big Blue. That’s enough of a Narrative St. to make Eli an intriguing play. Then add in the opponent, a Miami defense that has been getting crushed all season long, and you’ve really got something here at a bargain price. Manning looked just fine on Monday night under the circumstances. His price allows for the CMC’s of the world to fit nicely into your lineups.
Christian McCaffrey ($10,000) vs. SEA – McCaffrey has been very good, but not great, the past two weeks, and his salary is down to its lowest mark since Week 9. Still, he gets a favorable draw against the Seahawks at home. McCaffrey needs to average about 190 total yards from scrimmage over the final three weeks to set the NFL record. It’s about all the Panthers have left to play for, so McCaffrey could have a couple monster games still left in him.
Dalvin Cook, ($8,900) at LAC – Cook is healthy and his top backup, Alexander Mattison, has been ruled out of this game, making Cook the supreme lead back in a season where he has dominated in that role. The Vikings’ season is still on the line, so they will not shy away from Cook in any way two weeks removed from his injury scare. Play Cook with confidence this weekend.
Chris Carson, ($7,500) at CAR – Another backup injury situation, with Rashad Penny placed on IR, opens the door for Carson to get a season high in touches against the slumping Carolina defense. In seven games when getting 20 carries, Carson has been below 89 yards once and over 100 yards four times.
Chris Godwin ($7,700) at DET – Mike Evans is gone for the season, leaving Godwin as the No. 1 receiver in a season where he was slightly more productive than Evans, who had a fine season himself. The Lions’ defense is very beatable and this game sets up as a potential shootout, with the Bucs funneling opponents into the pass game. Let’s see what Godwin does as the unquestioned lead receiver on the field.
Kenny Golladay ($7,200) vs. TB – Just as Godwin doesn’t have Evans siphoning off targets, Marvin Jones is on IR in Detroit, leaving Golladay as the main man in the passing game. Golladay has a two-game line of 10-216-2 with David Blough under center, and the Bucs are last in the league in terms of allowing passing-game production. This could well be Golladay’s true breakout performance.
Jarvis Landry ($6,700) at ARI – The Cardinals are another defense that begs the opposition to beat them with the pass and Baker Mayfield appears to be coming into his own as a big-play quarterback. Landry has been a solid No. 2 behind Odell Beckham Jr., but with all the recent noise surrounding OBJ, it wouldn’t be a shocker if Landry becomes Mayfield’s most trusted target. He should flourish in this matchup with Patrick Peterson likely on Beckham.
Zach Ertz ($6,000) – at WAS – We would never tell anyone not to play George Kittle, who has a smash matchup against the Falcons. But with a $200 savings, Ertz makes a nice pivot off Kittle and Ertz has been red-hot himself, coming off his best game of the season against the Giants on Monday night. The Eagles are in must-win mode and are still missing most of their wide receiver corps, which should keep Ertz plenty busy on Sunday.
Tyler Higbee ($3,900) at DAL – Higbee is that late-season fantasy star that wins season-long leagues, and also alters the landscape in DFS. Higbee has put up a 14-223-1 over the past two weeks and Gerald Everett appears headed for another DNP. Higbee’s price is nowhere near where it should be, given his expected production. He’s a slam-dunk play in cash games.
Ian Thomas ($3,100) vs. SEA – Speaking of slam dunks. Greg Olsen has already been ruled out and Seattle is dreadful against the tight end position. Thomas had a solid game last week in Olsen’s absence, catching 5 of 10 targets for 57 yards and a score. That kind of production at $3,100 seems quite like to repeat itself.
I am an avid fan and user (my username is jeffgo33) and may sometimes play on my personal account in the games that I offer advice on. Although I have expressed my personal view on the games and strategies above, they do not necessarily reflect the view(s) of DraftKings and I may also deploy different players and strategies than what I recommend above. I am not an employee of DraftKings and do not have access to any non-public information.