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Joe Burrow went from Heisman Trophy longshot to overwhelming favorite in 2019

The award will be presented in the 8:00 p.m. hour on ESPN Saturday evening. We break down how the odds have changed from the preseason.

The Heisman trophy sits on a table during the game between the Sacred Heart Pioneers and the Penn Quakers on October 12, 2019 at Franklin Field in Philadelphia Pa. Photo by Andy Lewis/Icon Sportswire via Getty Images

The 2019 Heisman Trophy winner will be announced at 8:00 p.m. on ESPN tonight, and LSU quarterback Joe Burrow is the consensus favorite to win the award. The question is not if he will win, but rather, how big his margin of victory might be.

The four finalists for the award include Burrow, Ohio State quarterback Justin Fields, Oklahoma quarterback Jalen Hurts, and Ohio State edge rusher Chase Young. DraftKings Sportsbook has closed the odds on the award, and heading into the ceremony they are staggering:

Burrow: -2000
Fields: +1200
Young: +1200
Hurts: +4000

Burrow opened the season as a relative long shot to win the award. DraftKings Sportsbook installed him at +6600 in their preseason odds. By comparison, Clemson quarterback Trevor Lawrence was the favorite at +175 and Tua Tagovailoa was second at +225. It was considered a two-man race and everybody else was competing for a chance to be a finalist at best.

The preseason odds for the four finalists were as follows:

Burrow: +6600
Fields: +1400
Hurts: +1400
Young: Off the board

It took Young until Week 9 to get himself on the odds board. That week, Ohio State crushed then No. 13 Wisconsin 38-7 and Young had a four sack performance. He had been consistently solid all season, but that got him on bettors’ radars. He was installed at +1100 heading into Week 10 and improved to +900 with three more sacks that week against No. 8 Penn State. It was likely too late for Young to win the award, but that seven sack performance vaulted him into the finalist mix quicker than just about anybody else in the Heisman race.

Fields and Hurts were consistently in the mix, but Hurts came the closest to making a run at winning the award. His odds slowly improved most weeks, reaching their height at +155 following Week 8. That weekend he completed 16 of 17 passes for 316 yards and three touchdowns against 3-4 West Virginia. The previous week he threw for 235 yards with three touchdowns and an interception against No. 11 Texas. At +155, he was behind only then +150 Joe Burrow and just ahead of +200 Tua Tagovailoa in the odds race.

Tagovailoa was a key competitor in this thing until he dislocated his hip against Mississippi State. He surpassed Trevor Lawrence as the sole favorite following a thumping of South Carolina in which he threw for five touchdowns and a season high 444 yards. That would start a ridiculous three week stretch in which he threw for five, five, and six touchdowns. He then threw for four touchdowns and one interception against No. 24 Texas A&M.

Things went south in a hurry for Tagovailoa, however. In Week 11, Alabama lost to LSU, and while he threw for four touchdowns, the loss cost him in the odds. And then, the next week he dislocated his hip and his season was done. Joe Burrow emerged as the clear favorite at that point, and it turned into running up just how much he would win by.

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