The Colts lost a slugfest against the Buccaneers in Week 14 by a score of 38-35, giving them their second straight loss. The Saints also lost a heartbreaker against the 49ers by a score of 48-46 in the final seconds of that game. The win by the 49ers snapped a three-game winning streak for the Saints at the time.
As underdogs, the Colts have done well against the spread this season with a 3-2-2 record heading into Week 15. Even with limited weapons at his disposal, Jacoby Brissett has averaged 233 passing yards and three touchdowns over his last three games. The Saints have been very generous to opposing quarterbacks, allowing an average of 263 passing yards and 23 total touchdowns thrown. While T.Y. Hilton remains questionable, Brissett will rely on the likes of Zach Pascal, Marcus Johnson and Jack Doyle. The tight end position has found success against the Saints as of late, averaging 52 yards and two touchdowns over the last three weeks. Unfortunately, it’s another tough week for the recently returned Marlon Mack, who faces a Saints run defense that’s allowed a total of 877 rushing yards and five touchdowns on the ground, both of which are amongst the lowest in the league.
When the Saints are favored in a game, as they are this week, they’re 4-4 against the spread. It wouldn’t be a surprise to see them with a little extra spring in their step after a very tough loss last week. The Saints are 2-0 ATS after a loss this season and have covered by an average of 11.5 points. Despite the loss, Drew Brees delivered his best performance, completing 72.5 percent of his 40 pass attempts for 349 passing yards and five touchdowns. The Colts have been a team you can thrown on, allowing an average of 261 passing yards per game. It’s hard to think they’ll have an answer for Michael Thomas, who no one has had an answer for quite frankly. Seeing CB Pierre Desir in coverage isn’t going to help the Colts much, as Desir has allowed a 66.7% catch rate for an average of 16.7 YPR and four touchdowns. Despite the large spread, the Saints could have some issues running the ball against a strong Colts run defense thats only allowed 100+ rushing yards three times this season and only four rushing touchdowns.
All odds provided by DraftKings Sportsbook
Point Spread: Saints -8.5
Total Points: 46.5
Money Line: Colts +285; Saints -335
Overall 2019: Colts 6-7; Saints 10-3
ATS 2019: Colts 6-5-2; Saints 8-5
O/U 2019: Colts 8-5; Saints 7-6
Notable Prop Bets
- Total Touchdowns - Over 1.5 -167, Under 1.5 +128
- Last Team to Score +100
- Total Points - Over 27.5 -113, Under 27.5 -115
- First to 25 Points -141
- The Saints have won each of their last nine games against AFC opponents.
- The Saints have failed to cover the spread in each of their last six home games following a loss.
- Each of the Colts’ last eight Week 15 games have gone UNDER the total points line.
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