Week 16 is the last week we can feel confident that the majority of teams will play their starters fully and we’ll also have more meaningful games for the playoffs. We will need to change our DFS thinking for Week 17 and then again for the playoffs but for now, we get a big slate of games where teams will play much like they did throughout the regular season. Salaries via DraftKings.
BEST: Greg Ward, Eagles ($4,200)
Ward has hit nine targets in his last two games with Alshon Jeffery and Nelson Agholor hurting. Last week he turned his nine targets into seven receptions for 61 yards and a touchdown. Only Zach Ertz had more targets and Ward finished with more DK points than Ertz. This week the Eagles take on the Cowboys at home in a huge game for the playoffs. As long as Agholor remains out, Ward is a good value play.
WORST: Robbie Anderson, Jets ($5,700)
The Jets take on the Steelers tough pass defense in a game the Steelers must have for their playoff hopes to stay alive. Anderson has shown signs of life of late but the Steelers are best against outside receivers and will likely have more trouble with Jamison Crowder than Anderson.
BEST Chris Conley, Jaguars ($4,300)
Conley scored two touchdowns last week against the Raiders with D.J. Chark out. Chark will likely be out again and Conley faces a below average Falcons pass defense. Conley led the team in targets with eight and should again be a top target in a game they will likely trail, much like last week. His price has shot up but he was so cheap last week that he’s still too cheap as the No. 1 target coming off a two touchdown game.
WORST Odell Beckham Jr., Browns ($5,800)
Beckham Jr. isn’t 100 percent right now due to his sports hernia and he gets a tough draw against the Ravens now healthy pass defense. The last time they played in Week 3, the Browns stomped them but Beckham had two receptions for 20 yards and now Baltimore has Marcus Peters in the fold.