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Browns, Raiders have longest off odds, but either can still claim a playoff berth

The Browns need a ton of help to make the playoffs, while the Raiders need a near-miracle. We break down the scenarios heading into Week 16.

Head coach Jon Gruden of the Oakland Raiders celebrates with fans after a win in the game against the Detroit Lions at RingCentral Coliseum on November 03, 2019 in Oakland, California. Photo by Lachlan Cunningham/Getty Images

The Cleveland Browns lost to the Arizona Cardinals and the Oakland Raiders lost to the Jacksonville Jaguars in Week 15. Both were already on the fringe of the playoff race, and the losses pushed them that much closer to elimination.

According to the New York Times, the losses dropped both teams playoff chances to less than 1 percent (Browns odds, Raiders odds). The Baltimore Ravens claimed the AFC North title, so that leaves the wild card. The Buffalo Bills secured one wild card berth, so it leaves the Browns and Raiders competing with the Pittsburgh Steelers and Tennessee Titans competing for the second wild card berth.

The Steelers and Titans are currently 8-6, while the Browns and Raiders are 6-8. If Pittsburgh and Tennessee lose out and the Browns or Raiders win out, there is a chance for one of them to claim a spot. It’s a long shot, but it’s a shot nonetheless. That being said, if DraftKings Sportsbook posts their odds again, you should probably save your money.

Browns playoff scenario

The Browns scenario is difficult but entirely straightforward. Considering how the Ravens are playing, it’s hard to see the Browns getting out of Week 16 still alive in the playoff race.

  1. Browns win final two games — vs. Ravens, @ Bengals
  2. Steelers lose final two games — @ Jets, @ Ravens
  3. Titans lose final two games — vs. Saints, @ Texans
  4. Colts win final two games — vs. Panthers, @ Jaguars

Raiders playoff scenario

The Raiders starts out straight forward, and then devolves into chaos due to the depth of tiebreaker. There is a sub-Reddit for NFL playoff scenarios that has done excellent work figuring out this madness. The Raiders could reasonably win both of their remaining games, but they would need a near miracle to secure every other win or loss they need to clinch a

  1. Raiders win final two games — @ Chargers, @ Broncos
  2. Steelers lose final two games — @ Jets, @ Ravens
  3. Titans lose final two games — vs. Saints, @ Texans
  4. Colts win final two games — vs. Panthers, @ Jaguars
  5. Browns lose one of two games — vs. Ravens, @ Bengals
  6. A combination of games to swing Strength of Victory tiebreaker (via Reddit)