Drew Brees has been playing like a man possessed as of late and the Titans will certainly have their hands full. Brees has thrown 10 touchdowns over the last three weeks while averaging 280 passing yards in that span. The Titans are a team that allows an average of 273 passing yards per game, which is one of the highest totals in the league. Pair that with a fairly poor secondary that’ll be tasked with trying to stop Michael Thomas and its hard to think the Saints won’t be putting up some big points in this game. Thomas is going to draw CB Tye Smith in coverage, who is allowing an 81.3% catch rate on 16 targets for 10.2 YPR. The Brees/Thomas combo alone could account for the majority of the Saints scoring, as Alvin Kamara continues to be one of the biggest mysteries with his lack of overall production despite continuing to be heavily involved on a week-to-week basis.
Despite the love for the Saints, let’s not discredit how well the Titans have been playing. Currently 8-6 and second in the AFC South, Ryan Tannehill continue to prove that he can play in an Adam Gase-less run offense. Even in a game where he really struggled in the first half against the Texans, Tannehill would go on to complete 22-of-36 pass attempts for 279 yards and two touchdowns in the loss. He may need to be relied upon even more this week with a tough run defense ahead for Derrick Henry. His 100+ rushing streak was snapped last week at four against the Texans and he’ll be hard-pressed to start a new one against the Saints, who allow an average of 65 rushing yards per game. Tannehill should find success through the air against a shaky Saints secondary but it may not be enough to keep up with this high powered offense.
All odds provided by DraftKings Sportsbook and all odds subject to change.
Saints at Titans
Point Spread: Titans +3
Total Points: 50.5
Money Line: Saints -150; Titans +132
Overall: Saints 11-3; Titans 8-6
ATS: Saints 9-5; Titans 7-6-1
O/U: Saints 7-7; Titans 8-6
OUT: LB Kiko Alonso (quadricep), S Vonn Bell (knee), G Larry Warford (knee)
QUESTIONABLE: S Chauncey Gardner-Johnson (concussion), G Andrus Peat (forearm), CB Patrick Robinson (calf)
OUT: WR Adam Humphries (ankle), CB Adoree’ Jackson (foot)
QUESTIONABLE: DT Jeffery Simmons (knee)
Notable Prop Bets
- Over 26.5 points -108
- Over 13.5 points 1H +100
- Saints total touchdowns over 2.5 -165
- Over 11.5 points 1H -120
- Over 23.5 points -125
- Titans total touchdowns over 2.5 -132
- The Saints have won each of their last 10 games against AFC opponents.
- The Saints have covered the spread in each of their last five road games.
- Each of the Titans’ last seven home games against NFC opponents have gone OVER the total points line.
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Odds and lines subject to change. See website for details.