clock menu more-arrow no yes

Filed under:

Point spread, total, money line, injury report and more for Bengals-Dolphins in Week 16

It’s a Week 16 Toilet Bowl, with the Bengals and Dolphins squaring off for draft pick positioning. We break down notable odds, including the point spread, trends, and ATS history.

Miami Dolphins quarterback Ryan Fitzpatrick throws a pass against the New York Giants during the first quarter at MetLife Stadium Brad Penner-USA TODAY Sports

If there was ever any question as to why the Bengals went away from Andy Dalton midway through the season, Week 15 of the Patriots painted a good picture. Throwing four interceptions, which now give him more of those than touchdowns (11), Dalton has a much better matchup against the Dolphins. While Dalton is indeed the quarterback, this feels like a game where the offense will run through Joe Mixon, barring he suits up with a calf injury. The Dolphins simply can’t stop the run and have allowed the most rushing yards in the league, averaging 126 per game. Mixon is matchup proof and has seen 48 carries over the last two weeks for 282 yards and a touchdown. It’s almost scary to think what he could do in Miami. So while the Bengals are not a team you’d feel great about betting on, Mixon will very much keep them in this game.

The reason this game boasts a high total is not only because of the lack of defense with the Dolphins but also because of their recent surge of offense. Averaging 26 points over their last three games, Ryan Fitzpatrick has looked better than expected. He’s somehow rushed for 98 yards over the last two games on 11 attempts which have brought a different dynamic to his game. His connection with DeVante Parker has been nothing less than stellar and with the WR1 healthy, he should continue in this game. Patrick Laird could also be in line to show his potential since becoming the starter. The Bengals run defense, while not as bad as the Dolphins, have their fair share of issues, allowing an average of 118 rushing and 47 receiving. With all this in mind, we could see quite the high scoring affair in this game.

All odds provided by DraftKings Sportsbook and all odds subject to change.

Bengals at Dolphins

Betting Odds

Point Spread: Pick-em
Total Points: 47
Money Line: Bengals -107; Dolphins -107

Records

Overall: Bengals 1-13; Dolphins 3-11
ATS: Bengals 5-8-1; Dolphins 7-7
O/U: Bengals 5-8-1; Dolphins 7-7

Injury Report

Bengals

Out: WR A.J. Green (ankle), G John Miller (concussion)

Dolphins

Questionable: C Evan Boehm (ankle), DE Taco Charlton (ankle), RB Chandler Cox (shoulder), K Jason Sanders (illness), DT Zach Sieler (ankle)

Notable Prop Bets

Bengals:

  • Over 23.5 points -104
  • Over 2.5 touchdowns -108
  • Tyler Boyd over 65.5 receiving yards

Dolphins:

  • Over 23.5 points -103
  • Over 2.5 touchdowns -107
  • Patrick Laird over 47.5 rushing yards -112

Betting Trends

  • The Bengals have lost each of their last 10 road games against AFC opponents.
  • The Bengals have failed to cover the spread in four of their last five games against teams that held a losing record.
  • Each of the Dolphins’ last four games following a loss have gone OVER the total points line.

Gambling problem? Call 1-800-GAMBLER (NJ) or 1-800-9-WITH-IT (IN)
21+. NJ/PA/IN Only. Eligibility restrictions apply.
Odds and lines subject to change. See website for details.