The Texans haven’t clinched a playoff berth and a win in this game would give them the AFC South title and a playoff berth. They will go all out.
The Buccaneers are out of the playoffs and down their two top wide receivers but they are also 7-7 and have been playing well. Beating a team like the Texans at home to make sure they don’t have a losing record is likely enough motivation to keep them interested.
Jameis Winston, QB, Buccaneers ($11,600)
This game has the second highest over/under of the week at 49.5 so there are quite a few players that could fit in this spot. With both pass defenses being weak, I ended up going with Winston, as his team is the underdog at home and I expect a lot of passing. The Texans can be run on easier than the Bucs but they are weak on the ground and will play to their strengths.
The fact that Chris Godwin and Mike Evans are out is a blow but Breshad Perriman caught three touchdowns last week and right now it doesn’t seem to matter who is out there for this offense to move the ball through the air.
Breshad Perriman, WR, Buccaneers ($8,400)
Perriman will be chalk and could be the best captain play going, but Winston does target multiple receivers and we could see a few different names find the end zone this week if all goes well for him. But Perriman is the best big-play target for the Bucs in a game that could have plenty of offense.
O.J Howard ($5,600), Cameron Brate ($4,800), TEs, Buccaneers
Howard led the team in targets last week while Brate was tied with Chris Godwin for second on the team. Now with Godwin out, these two are going to see a lot of work and at a good price. The Texans rank 27th against tight ends in DVOA and 22nd in fantasy points allowed to the position.
Will Fuller, WR, Buccaneers ($8,200)
If I could fit DeShaun Watson, DeAndre Hopkins and Jameis Winston into my lineup, I would, but that’s a pipe dream, so stacking the Bucs and grabbing the risk/reward of Fuller is one of the few ways to invest in these two passing games. Kenny Stills is the cheapest, viable receiver for the Texans and faces one of the worst slot defenses in the league, so adding both Fuller and Stills can help bring back the Texans passing game on this slate, as their tight ends are mostly window dressing.
Justin Watson, WR, Buccaneers ($6,400)
Watson will be the other wide receiver on the field for the Buccaneers and he has similar ability to Perriman. His price is better and DVOA has the Texans as playing worse against No. 2 receivers than No. 1’s. His price and opportunity make him a tough player to fade in this matchup.
I am an avid fan and user (my username is cogresha) and may sometimes play on my personal account in the games that I offer advice on. Although I have expressed my personal view on the games and strategies above, they do not necessarily reflect the view(s) of DraftKings and I may also deploy different players and strategies than what I recommend above. I am not an employee of DraftKings and do not have access to any non-public information.