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What to do with Tom Brady in Week 16 fantasy football

The Patriots and Bills face off in what should be a tight, defensive matchup. We break down the Week 16 start/sit considerations for quarterback Tom Brady.

Tom Brady of the New England Patriots throws a pass during the first half against the Cincinnati Bengals in the game at Paul Brown Stadium on December 15, 2019 in Cincinnati, Ohio. Photo by Andy Lyons/Getty Images

Tom Brady has been in a fantasy slump lately, scoring less than 15 DraftKings fantasy points in five of his last six games. Brady was not elected to the Pro Bowl for the first time since tearing his ACL during the 2008 season, and it represents the first time since 2006 that Brady was not elected to the Pro Bowl during a healthy season. Brady’s 86.5 passer rating is worse than the league average of 91.0 and is his lowest passer rating since 2013. A combination of factors could be in play for Brady’s declining play, including an elbow injury along with a lack of weapons to throw to.

Fantasy football analysis: New England Patriots QB Tom Brady

Brady has a very difficult matchup against the Bills, who have held QBs to the second lowest passer rating and limited QBs to the second fewest DraftKings fantasy points per game. The Bills played Brady extremely tough in Week 4, holding Brady to just 4.7 DraftKings fantasy points, easily Brady’s worst game of the season. The total points of 37.5 on DraftKings Sportsbook for Patriots-Bills is tied for the lowest on the Week 16 schedule, so this appears set to be a low-scoring game that could feature poor passing volume on both sides. That said, sitting Tom Brady is a risky fantasy choice in any given matchup, and the game is taking place at home, where Brady has performed far better in 2019.

Fantasy Start/Sit Recommendation

Start Tom Brady unless in a shallow league with better options