There aren’t many strong value plays at quarterback this week. so instead, I think we need to look at extremely cheap plays that have some upside. These quarterbacks are extremely risky but their price makes them more viable, especially in GPPs.
Will Grier ($4,300) at Colts
Grier gets his first start of the season and he is by far the cheapest quarterback on the main slate. Grier has a big arm but will make mistakes. The good news is that he has Christian McCaffrey to check down to which the Colts will allow, and McCaffrey can make plays after the catch, helping Grier’s fantasy upside. The Colts have also been giving up big fantasy points to quarterbacks of late. Since Week 11, they’ve allowed the second-most DK points to the position, which includes the most passing touchdowns. If Grier can get going, his deep ball is much better than Kyle Allen’s and that would be great for Curtis Samuel, who has suffered from Allen’s inability to throw deep.
Dwayne Haskins Jr. ($4,700) vs Giants
The Giants have allowed the sixth-most fantasy points to quarterbacks this season and haven’t been much better of late, giving up the third-most since Week 8. Dwayne Haskins hasn’t been good but last week he turned things around, as he had his best game of the year against the Eagles. He completed 19-of-28 passes for 261 yards and two touchdowns and rushed four times for 26 yards. That was a home game against a poor pass defense and the same is true this week. Haskins has started getting on the same page as Terry McLaurin as well, which gives him a good chance for big plays like his 95 yard touchdown last week.
Andy Dalton ($5,200) at Dolphins
Dalton hasn’t been good since returning to the starting lineup but a game against the Dolphins could change that fact. Miami has only held two opposing quarterback to under two touchdown passes this season, Sam Darnold and Brian Hoyer and they both managed one touchdown pass. This also could be the game John Ross gets back on track with a couple deep passes while Tyler Boyd should stay consistent and Joe Mixon’s strong play of late could slow down the pass rush. And of course, Dalton could throw three pick-sixes.
I am an avid fan and user (my username is cogresha) and may sometimes play on my personal account in the games that I offer advice on. Although I have expressed my personal view on the games and strategies above, they do not necessarily reflect the view(s) of DraftKings and I may also deploy different players and strategies than what I recommend above. I am not an employee of DraftKings and do not have access to any non-public information.