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What to do with Raheem Mostert, Tevin Coleman, Matt Breida in Week 16 fantasy football

Raheem Mostert continues to operate as the lead back in San Francisco’s offensive scheme. Is there any reason to think that changes this Saturday? We break down the Week 16 start/sit considerations.

San Francisco 49ers running back Raheem Mostert carries the ball against the New Orleans Saints in the second quarter at the Mercedes-Benz Superdome. Chuck Cook-USA TODAY Sports

It might seem a little odd to say about a running back so clearly entrenched in a three-headed committee, but I have the utmost confidence in Raheem Mostert. The 27-year-old has been the 49ers’ clear lead back for the past three weeks, a span of time that’s seen Mostert rack up 43 carries and four total touchdowns. There’s a lot to break down in just those two statistics. In the grand scheme of things, 43 rushing attempts across a three-week span isn’t all that much to write home about. In fact, among all running backs dating back to the beginning of Week 13, its only the 17th largest workload in the NFL.

Still, while volume is the lifeblood of fantasy, efficiency and situation are almost as important. Mostert may be garnering only slightly more than 14 carries per game as the No. 1 option in San Francisco’s backfield; however, in that same three-week stretch, he’s putting up an eye-popping 6.3 yards per attempt and is leading all qualified RBs in PPR fantasy points gained per touch (1.28). There’s simply something to be said for being a featured component of an elite offense. Is it a bit far-fetched to assume that Mostert will continue to score a touchdown every single week to balance out his modest usage? Of course. Yet, at the same time, it’s easier to trust the running back’s touchdown-dependency as a key cog in a system that’s found the end zone on 28.5% of their drives in 2019 - the fifth-best mark in all of football.

Fantasy Football Analysis, San Francisco 49ers RBs Raheem Moster, Tevin Coleman and Matt Breida

With your season on the line, there’s no way you’re willing to start any 49ers’ RB aside from Mostert. While the Purdue product has logged 72 offensive snaps the past two weeks, Tevin Coleman (29) and Matt Breida (24) have been limited to much smaller roles. Coleman does technically continue to draw the start and he ripped-off an impressive 37-yard gain versus the Falcons last Sunday, but none of this is enough to make him viable at this point of the calendar. Lock in Mostert as a high-ceiling RB2.

Start/Sit Recommendation

Start Moster. Sit Coleman. Sit Breida.