Here’s really all you need to know about Sony Michel’s fantasy prospects this weekend: last Sunday was his best performance in almost two months and it amounted to all of 11.3 PPR points. You could quibble about who has been the biggest Fantasy Football disappointment so far in 2019, but I think we can all agree that Michel would definitely make the short list. I mean, just look at the premium level of opponents the sophomore has received in recent matchups. Houston, Kansas City and Cincinnati have all been terrible against the run this season, yet Michel’s done next to nothing in all three spots. Its simply hard to imagine that his fortune is suddenly going to change versus a defense of Buffalo’s caliber.
The Bills have had the occasional slip-up when it comes to defending against the run, but, overall, the team has mostly been pretty stout when it comes to opposing RBs. Buffalo’s allowed just 90.7 rushing yards per contest since the beginning of Week 13 and, for the entire year, the team’s limited 26% of opponent running attempts to no gain or a loss of yards - the third-highest rate in the NFL. Honestly, the best way to attack the Bills might be by utilizing running backs in the passing game, as Buffalo’s surrendered the 10th most targets to the position in 2019 (102). Don’t think Bill Belichick isn’t aware of that, either.
Fantasy Football Analysis, New England Patriots RBs James White, Sony Michel and Rex Burkhead
Back in their Week 4 matchup against these very same Bills, the Patriots targeted James White an impressive 10 times with the veteran hauling in eight of those opportunities for 57 yards. That’s not necessarily going to happen again, but White is second to Julian Edelman in almost all of New England’s receiving stats, including targets (87), receptions (65) and receiving yards (588). He’s simply a vital piece of the Patriots’ attack regardless of matchup and he’s always at least a high-end FLEX consideration in PPR formats. Aside from him, Michel’s difficult to trust and Rex Burkhead’s volume is far too inconsistent.
Start White. Sit Michel. Sit Burkhead.