It’s time to check out the early Week 17 NFL lines to see what games we should be mining for fantasy points. We need big over/unders and hopefully close spreads, but we’ll take the top totals if we can’t have both. These games should be able to push individual players toward their statistical upside, which is always what we are looking for in DFS.
Atlanta Falcons at Tampa Bay Buccaneers (-1)
Neither the Falcons or Buccaneers have anything to play for but both have looked like they care enough to make games close and win a few along the way. This game easily has the highest over/under of the week and it’s almost a pick ‘em as the home team gets a point. These two defenses have played better of late but overall, the offenses should see plenty of opportunities as they rack up their 2019 statistics.
Philadelphia Eagles (-4.5) at New York Giants
The Eagles need this game to get into the playoffs and the Giants were just scorched by Dwayne Haskins and Case Keenum. And Daniel Jones just went off on Washington’s bad pass defense for five touchdowns while the Eagles sport a similarly poor pass defense. There’s a good chance this game doesn’t go smoothly for the Eagles and the points start stacking up, which is what we want in games we target for daily fantasy.
Washington at Dallas Cowboys (-11.5)
This is a game the Cowboys should put up huge numbers now that they’ve probably lost out to the Eagles for the playoffs and they’re back at home. They still have a chance to sneak into the playoffs if the Eagles lose to the Giants. It looks like Dwayne Haskins will be okay to play and he has been good of late. The 11.5 point spread seems a little high, as this game could be close between two division rivals with a little on the line.
San Francisco 49ers (-2.5) at Seattle Seahawks
The winner of this game wins the NFC West so we know their key players will be playing and going all out. Seattle’s defense is below average while the 49ers have suffered some key injuries and have given up 46, 29 and 31 points over their last three games. This has some shootout appeal, especially with the Seahawks down all their starting running backs. I’d love to see Pete Carroll truly let Russell Wilson loose.
New Orleans Saints (12.5) at Carolina Panthers
If Seattle can beat the 49ers and the Saints take down the Panthers, New Orleans will get the No. 1 seed throughout the playoffs. That should be enough incentive to have them play all out and run up the score on the Panthers in the second highest over/under game of the week, as they won’t know the outcome of the 49ers/Seahawks bout until Sunday evening.
I am an avid fan and user (my username is cogresha) and may sometimes play on my personal account in the games that I offer advice on. Although I have expressed my personal view on the games and strategies above, they do not necessarily reflect the view(s) of DraftKings and I may also deploy different players and strategies than what I recommend above. I am not an employee of DraftKings and do not have access to any non-public information.