After failing to cover the spread once again as favorites (2-7-1 ATS as favorites) the Chargers will wrap up their 2019 season on the road against the Chiefs. The Chargers are underdogs for this game, a scenario they sport a 2-2-1 record ATS. This is going to be a very difficult team to throw against, as the Chiefs secondary has been one of the best in the league. In fact, they’re allowing an average of just 237 passing yards and a 59 percent completion rate to opposing quarterbacks. While Philip Rivers has been good as of late, he threw four interceptions in Week 11 against the Chiefs despite 353 passing yards.
Austin Ekeler provided a big chunk of his 353 passing yards in that game, as he collected 102 of those on eight receptions. That should come as no surprise as the Chiefs are one of the worst run defenses in the league, allowing an average of 108 rushing and 55 receiving, both of which are amongst the highest in the league. Melvin Gordon, who had 69 yards on 14 carries, could also continue to find success against this team but in a game script where the Chargers are likely playing from behind, the path for Gordon doesn’t look promising.
The Chiefs are big favorites in this game and as home favorites are 3-2 ATS. Like the Chiefs, the Chargers are a tough team to throw against, as evidenced by Patrick Mahomes throwing for just 182 yards and a touchdown. The Chargers are also like the Chiefs were they struggle on the ground, paving the way for a good playoff tune up for the recently returning Damien Williams.
LeSean McCoy was a healthy scratch in Week 16, leaving Williams, Spencer Ware and Darwin Thompson to handle the running back duties. Williams has a lot of potential upside in this game with the Chargers strong against the pass. In his return to the field in over five weeks, Williams rushed 16 times for 65 yards which catching a touchdown on one of his three receptions. Of course, you can’t deny the upside that Tyreek Hill and Travis Kelce bring, even in a less than stellar matchup.
All odds provided by DraftKings Sportsbook and all odds subject to change.
Chargers at Chiefs
Point Spread: Chiefs -8.5
Total Points: 46.5
Money Line: Chargers +290; Chiefs -357
Overall: Chargers 5-10; Chiefs 11-4
ATS: Chargers 4-9-2; Chiefs 10-5
O/U: Chargers 6-9; Chiefs 7-8
Players to watch: LB Thomas Davis (not injury related), T Russell Okung (groin), RB Justin Jackson (hamstring), LB Denzel Perryman (ankle), QB Philip Rivers (right thumb)
Players to watch: T Cameron Erving (illness), CB Morris Claiborne (shoulder), G Andrew Wylie (ankle), CB Bashaud Breeland (shoulder), K Harrison Butker (glute), CB Rashad Fenton (hamstring), C Austin Reiter (wrist)
- The Chiefs have won each of their last 21 day games against AFC West opponents.
- The road team has covered the spread in eight of the last nine games between the Chargers and Chiefs.
- Each of the Chiefs’ last six games against AFC West opponents have gone UNDER the total points line.
- Tyreek Hill has scored the first touchdown in three of the Chiefs’ last four day games at Arrowhead Stadium.
- Austin Ekeler has scored at least one touchdown in each of the Chargers’ last seven road games.
- Melvin Gordon III has scored at least one touchdown in each of his last eight appearances with the Chargers as road underdogs.
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